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欧洲中期天气预报中心发布2024年度报告 快报文章
资源环境快报，2025年第13期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(45Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：338/0  |  提交时间：2025/07/15
ECMWF  Annual Report  Forecasting System  Artificial Intelligence  Machine Learning  
英国“预测临界点”计划将推动临界点早期预警 快报文章
资源环境快报，2025年第4期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(22Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：470/1  |  提交时间：2025/02/28
Forecasting Tipping Points  early warning system  
IFS升级将改善对气溶胶、颗粒物和臭氧的预测 快报文章
地球科学快报，2020年第23期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(13Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：453/1  |  提交时间：2020/12/09
Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service  Integrated Forecasting System  anthropogenic emissions  dust aerosol  
Updraft and Downdraft Core Size and Intensity as Revealed by Radar Wind Profilers: MCS Observations and Idealized Model Comparisons 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (11)
作者:  Wang, Die;  Giangrande, Scott E.;  Feng, Zhe;  Hardin, Joseph C.;  Prein, Andreas F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：22/0  |  提交时间：2020/08/18
mesoscale convective system  radar wind profiler  vertical velocity  Weather Research and Forecasting model  mass flux  convective draft  
Complexity-based approach for El Nino magnitude forecasting before the spring predictability barrier 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (1) : 177-183
作者:  Meng, Jun;  Fan, Jingfang;  Ludescher, Josef;  Agarwal, Ankit;  Chen, Xiaosong;  Bunde, Armin;  Kurths, Juergen;  Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
收藏  |  浏览/下载：27/0  |  提交时间：2020/05/13
ENSO  system complexity  entropy  spring barrier  forecasting  
Seasonal drought ensemble predictions based on multiple climate models in the upper Han River Basin, China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7447-7460
作者:  Ma, Feng;  Ye, Aizhong;  Duan, Qingyun
收藏  |  浏览/下载：19/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Seasonal drought forecasting system  NMME  DTVGM  Soil moisture  Han River basin  
On the skill of seasonal sea surface temperature forecasts in the California Current System and its connection to ENSO variability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7519-7533
作者:  Jacox, Michael G.;  Alexander, Michael A.;  Stock, Charles A.;  Hervieux, Gaelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载：16/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Seasonal forecasting  Predictability  California current system  Upwelling  ENSO  NMME  
Advancing global storm surge modelling using the new ERA5 climate reanalysis 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Dullaart, Job C. M.;  Muis, Sanne;  Bloemendaal, Nadia;  Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：22/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
ERA5  Climate reanalysis  Global hydrodynamic model  Storm surges  ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System  
Ensemble flood forecasting based on a coupled atmospheric-hydrological modeling system with data assimilation 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 224: 127-137
作者:  Tian, Jiyang;  Liu, Jia;  Yan, Denghua;  Ding, Liuqian;  Li, Chuanzhe
收藏  |  浏览/下载：19/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Numerical weather prediction  Data assimilation  Rainfall-runoff model  Atmospheric-hydrological modeling system  Ensemble flood forecasting  
Seasonal hydroclimatic ensemble forecasts anticipate nutrient and suspended sediment loads using a dynamical-statistical approach 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (8)
作者:  Sharma, Sanjib;  Gall, Heather;  Gironas, Jorge;  Mejia, Alfonso
收藏  |  浏览/下载：19/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
ensembles  subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting  water quantity/quality forecasting  hydrologic model  climate forecast system