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Asynchronous carbon sink saturation in African and Amazonian tropical forests 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7797) : 80-+
作者:  Wannes Hubau;  Simon L. Lewis;  Oliver L. Phillips;  Kofi Affum-Baffoe;  Hans Beeckman;  Aida Cuní;  -Sanchez;  Armandu K. Daniels;  Corneille E. N. Ewango;  Sophie Fauset;  Jacques M. Mukinzi;  Douglas Sheil;  Bonaventure Sonké;  Martin J. P. Sullivan;  Terry C. H. Sunderland;  Hermann Taedoumg;  Sean C. Thomas;  Lee J. T. White;  Katharine A. Abernethy;  Stephen Adu-Bredu;  Christian A. Amani;  Timothy R. Baker;  Lindsay F. Banin;  Fidè;  le Baya;  Serge K. Begne;  Amy C. Bennett;  Fabrice Benedet;  Robert Bitariho;  Yannick E. Bocko;  Pascal Boeckx;  Patrick Boundja;  Roel J. W. Brienen;  Terry Brncic;  Eric Chezeaux;  George B. Chuyong;  Connie J. Clark;  Murray Collins;  James A. Comiskey;  David A. Coomes;  Greta C. Dargie;  Thales de Haulleville;  Marie Noel Djuikouo Kamdem;  Jean-Louis Doucet;  Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert;  Ted R. Feldpausch;  Alusine Fofanah;  Ernest G. Foli;  Martin Gilpin;  Emanuel Gloor;  Christelle Gonmadje;  Sylvie Gourlet-Fleury;  Jefferson S. Hall;  Alan C. Hamilton;  David J. Harris;  Terese B. Hart;  Mireille B. N. Hockemba;  Annette Hladik;  Suspense A. Ifo;  Kathryn J. Jeffery;  Tommaso Jucker;  Emmanuel Kasongo Yakusu;  Elizabeth Kearsley;  David Kenfack;  Alexander Koch;  Miguel E. Leal;  Aurora Levesley;  Jeremy A. Lindsell;  Janvier Lisingo;  Gabriela Lopez-Gonzalez;  Jon C. Lovett;  Jean-Remy Makana;  Yadvinder Malhi;  Andrew R. Marshall;  Jim Martin;  Emanuel H. Martin;  Faustin M. Mbayu;  Vincent P. Medjibe;  Vianet Mihindou;  Edward T. A. Mitchard;  Sam Moore;  Pantaleo K. T. Munishi;  Natacha Nssi Bengone;  Lucas Ojo;  Fidè;  le Evouna Ondo;  Kelvin S.-H. Peh;  Georgia C. Pickavance;  Axel Dalberg Poulsen;  John R. Poulsen;  Lan Qie;  Jan Reitsma;  Francesco Rovero;  Michael D. Swaine;  Joey Talbot;  James Taplin;  David M. Taylor;  Duncan W. Thomas;  Benjamin Toirambe;  John Tshibamba Mukendi;  Darlington Tuagben;  Peter M. Umunay;  Geertje M. F. van der Heijden;  Hans Verbeeck;  Jason Vleminckx;  Simon Willcock;  Hannsjö;  rg Wö;  ll;  John T. Woods;  Lise Zemagho
收藏  |  浏览/下载:70/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Structurally intact tropical forests sequestered about half of the global terrestrial carbon uptake over the 1990s and early 2000s, removing about 15 per cent of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions(1-3). Climate-driven vegetation models typically predict that this tropical forest '  carbon sink'  will continue for decades(4,5). Here we assess trends in the carbon sink using 244 structurally intact African tropical forests spanning 11 countries, compare them with 321 published plots from Amazonia and investigate the underlying drivers of the trends. The carbon sink in live aboveground biomass in intact African tropical forests has been stable for the three decades to 2015, at 0.66 tonnes of carbon per hectare per year (95 per cent confidence interval 0.53-0.79), in contrast to the long-term decline in Amazonian forests(6). Therefore the carbon sink responses of Earth'  s two largest expanses of tropical forest have diverged. The difference is largely driven by carbon losses from tree mortality, with no detectable multi-decadal trend in Africa and a long-term increase in Amazonia. Both continents show increasing tree growth, consistent with the expected net effect of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide and air temperature(7-9). Despite the past stability of the African carbon sink, our most intensively monitored plots suggest a post-2010 increase in carbon losses, delayed compared to Amazonia, indicating asynchronous carbon sink saturation on the two continents. A statistical model including carbon dioxide, temperature, drought and forest dynamics accounts for the observed trends and indicates a long-term future decline in the African sink, whereas the Amazonian sink continues to weaken rapidly. Overall, the uptake of carbon into Earth'  s intact tropical forests peaked in the 1990s. Given that the global terrestrial carbon sink is increasing in size, independent observations indicating greater recent carbon uptake into the Northern Hemisphere landmass(10) reinforce our conclusion that the intact tropical forest carbon sink has already peaked. This saturation and ongoing decline of the tropical forest carbon sink has consequences for policies intended to stabilize Earth'  s climate.


  
A 20-year tree liberation experiment in the Amazon: Highlights for diameter growth rates and species-specific management 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2019, 453
作者:  David, Hassan C.;  Carvalho, Joao O. P.;  Pires, Iran Paz;  Santos, Luana S.;  Barbosa, Eglison S.;  Braga, Nathalia S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Terra firme forest  Minimum cutting diameter  Cutting cycle  Individual-tree growth  Non-age-explicit growth model  
Coastal Alaska forests under climate change: What to expect? 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2019, 448: 432-444
作者:  Ma, Wu;  Zhou, Xiaoping;  Liang, Jingjing;  Zhou, Mo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Matrix growth model  Climate change  Forest dynamics  Disturbances  Temperate rainforest  
Competition and climate influence growth of black spruce in western boreal forests 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2019, 443: 84-94
作者:  Oboite, Felix O.;  Comeau, Philip G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Black spruce  Climate  Competition  Mixed model  Growth  Forest types  
Bayesian calibration of a carbon balance model PREBAS using data from permanent growth experiments and national forest inventory 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2019, 440: 208-257
作者:  Minunno, Francesco;  Peltoniemi, Mikko;  Harkonen, Sanna;  Kalliokoski, Tuomo;  Makinen, Harri;  Makela, Annikki
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Process-based model  Data assimilation  Bayesian calibration  Forest carbon cycle  Forest inventory data  Permanent growth experiments  
How do tree mortality models from combined tree-ring and inventory data affect projections of forest succession? 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2019, 433: 606-617
作者:  Vanoni, Marco;  Cailleret, Maxime;  Huelsmanna, Lisa;  Bugmann, Harald;  Bigler, Christof
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Survival model  ForClim  Radial growth  Forest dynamics  
Application of the 3-PG model to predict growth of Larix olgensis plantations in northeastern China 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2017, 406
作者:  Xie, Yalin;  Wang, Haiyan;  Lei, Xiangdong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Forest growth model  Process-based models  3-PG  Larix olgensis  Site factors  
Predicting the spatial and temporal dynamics of species interactions in Fagus sylvatica and Pinus sylvestris forests across Europe 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2017, 405
作者:  Forrester, D. I.;  Ammer, Ch.;  Annighofer, P. J.;  Avdagic, A.;  Barbeito, I.;  Bielak, K.;  Brazaitis, G.;  Coll, L.;  del Rio, M.;  Drossler, L.;  Heym, M.;  Hurt, V.;  Lof, M.;  Matovic, B.;  Meloni, F.;  den Ouden, J.;  Pach, M.;  Pereira, M. G.;  Ponette, Q.;  Pretzsch, H.;  Skrzyszewski, J.;  Stojanovic, D.;  Svoboda, M.;  Ruiz-Peinado, R.;  Vacchiano, G.;  Verheyen, K.;  Zlatanov, T.;  Bravo-Oviedo, A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Biodiversity  Climate  Competition  Complementarity  Forest growth model  Mixed-species  Silviculture