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NOAA发布《2022年北极报告》 快报文章
资源环境快报,2022年第24期
作者:  薛明媚,吴秀平
Microsoft Word(17Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:446/0  |  提交时间:2023/01/01
Arctic  Sea Ice  Greenland  
2100年格陵兰冰盖融化可能导致海平面上升约18cm 快报文章
资源环境快报,2020年第24期
作者:  董利苹
Microsoft Word(14Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:524/0  |  提交时间:2020/12/31
Greenland Ice Sheet  Sea Level Rise  CMIP6  Regional Climate Models  
ISMIP6分析南极和格陵兰冰盖对未来海平面的贡献 快报文章
气候变化快报,2020年第19期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(15Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:444/0  |  提交时间:2020/09/29
Greenland  Antarctica  Ice Sheet  Sea-level Rise  Mass Loss  Ensemble  Representative Concentration Pathway  
南北极冰盖损失正在沿最严重的气候预估情景发展 快报文章
气候变化快报,2020年第18期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:403/0  |  提交时间:2020/09/20
Ice-sheet loss  Sea-level rise  IPCC  Antarctica  Greenland  
Greenland Ice Sheet Contribution to 21st Century Sea Level Rise as Simulated by the Coupled CESM2.1-CISM2.1 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Muntjewerf, Laura;  Petrini, Michele;  Vizcaino, Miren;  da Silva, Carolina Ernani;  Sellevold, Raymond;  Scherrenberg, Meike D. W.;  Thayer-Calder, Katherine;  Bradley, Sarah L.;  Lenaerts, Jan T. M.;  Lipscomb, William H.;  Lofverstrom, Marcus
收藏  |  浏览/下载:32/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Greenland Ice Sheet  Sea level rise  21st century  
Oceanic forcing of penultimate deglacial and last interglacial sea-level rise 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7792) : 660-+
作者:  Rizal, Yan;  Westaway, Kira E.;  Zaim, Yahdi;  van den Bergh, Gerrit D.;  Bettis, E. Arthur, III;  Morwood, Michael J.;  Huffman, O. Frank;  Grun, Rainer;  Joannes-Boyau, Renaud;  Bailey, Richard M.;  Sidarto;  Westaway, Michael C.;  Kurniawan, Iwan;  Moore, Mark W.;  Storey, Michael;  Aziz, Fachroel;  Suminto;  Zhao, Jian-xin;  Aswan;  Sipola, Maija E.;  Larick, Roy;  Zonneveld, John-Paul;  Scott, Robert;  Putt, Shelby;  Ciochon, Russell L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:41/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Sea-level histories during the two most recent deglacial-interglacial intervals show substantial differences(1-3) despite both periods undergoing similar changes in global mean temperature(4,5) and forcing from greenhouse gases(6). Although the last interglaciation (LIG) experienced stronger boreal summer insolation forcing than the present interglaciation(7), understanding why LIG global mean sea level may have been six to nine metres higher than today has proven particularly challenging(2). Extensive areas of polar ice sheets were grounded below sea level during both glacial and interglacial periods, with grounding lines and fringing ice shelves extending onto continental shelves(8). This suggests that oceanic forcing by subsurface warming may also have contributed to ice-sheet loss(9-12) analogous to ongoing changes in the Antarctic(13,14) and Greenland(15) ice sheets. Such forcing would have been especially effective during glacial periods, when the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) experienced large variations on millennial timescales(16), with a reduction of the AMOC causing subsurface warming throughout much of the Atlantic basin(9,12,17). Here we show that greater subsurface warming induced by the longer period of reduced AMOC during the penultimate deglaciation can explain the more-rapid sea-level rise compared with the last deglaciation. This greater forcing also contributed to excess loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets during the LIG, causing global mean sea level to rise at least four metres above modern levels. When accounting for the combined influences of penultimate and LIG deglaciation on glacial isostatic adjustment, this excess loss of polar ice during the LIG can explain much of the relative sea level recorded by fossil coral reefs and speleothems at intermediate- and far-field sites.


  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:31/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Combined impact of Greenland sea ice, Eurasian snow, and El Nino-Southern Oscillation on Indian and Korean summer monsoons 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Kim, In-Won;  Prabhu, Amita;  Oh, Jaiho;  Kripalani, Ramesh H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
ENSO  Eurasian snow  Greenland sea ice  Indian summer monsoon  Korean summer monsoon  
Ice sheet contributions to future sea-level rise from structured expert judgment 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (23) : 11195-11200
作者:  Bamber, Jonathan L.;  Oppenheimer, Michael;  Kopp, Robert E.;  Aspinall, Willy P.;  Cooke, Roger M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:52/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
sea-level rise  climate predictions  ice sheets  Greenland  Antarctica  
Linear response of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers to ocean/atmosphere warming 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2018, 115 (31) : 7907-7912
作者:  Cowton, T. R.;  Sole, A. J.;  Nienow, P. W.;  Slater, D. A.;  Christoffersen, P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
ice sheets  glaciers  climate change  Greenland  sea-level rise