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Changes in the Arctic Ocean Carbon Cycle With Diminishing Ice Cover 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (12)
作者:  DeGrandpre, Michael;  Evans, Wiley;  Timmermans, Mary-Louise;  Krishfield, Richard;  Williams, Bill;  Steele, Michael
收藏  |  浏览/下载:29/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
Arctic Ocean  ice concentration  seawater CO2  interannual variability  Canada Basin  shipboard CO2 measurements  
Surface Ocean Warming Around Australia Driven by Interannual Variability and Long-Term Trends in Southern Hemisphere Westerlies 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Duran, E. R.;  England, M. H.;  Spence, P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:25/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Tasman Sea  South Australian Basin  Ocean surface warming  Southern Annular Mode  interannual wind variability  Twenty first Century projections  
Internal Variability Dominates Over Externally Forced Ocean Circulation Changes Seen Through CFCs 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Lester, J. G.;  Lovenduski, N. S.;  Graven, H. D.;  Long, M. C.;  Lindsay, K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:23/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
internal variability  Southern Ocean  model ensemble  Circumpolar Deep Water  Subantarctic Mode Water  CFC12  
A pause in Southern Hemisphere circulation trends due to the Montreal Protocol 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7800) : 544-548
作者:  Imai, Yu;  Meyer, Kirsten J.;  Iinishi, Akira;  Favre-Godal, Quentin;  Green, Robert;  Manuse, Sylvie;  Caboni, Mariaelena;  Mori, Miho;  Niles, Samantha;  Ghiglieri, Meghan;  Honrao, Chandrashekhar;  Ma, Xiaoyu;  Guo, Jason J.;  Makriyannis, Alexandros;  Linares-Otoya, Luis;  Boehringer, Nils;  Wuisan, Zerlina G.;  Kaur, Hundeep;  Wu, Runrun;  Mateus, Andre
收藏  |  浏览/下载:49/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Observations show robust near-surface trends in Southern Hemisphere tropospheric circulation towards the end of the twentieth century, including a poleward shift in the mid-latitude jet(1,2), a positive trend in the Southern Annular Mode(1,3-6) and an expansion of the Hadley cell(7,8). It has been established that these trends were driven by ozone depletion in the Antarctic stratosphere due to emissions of ozone-depleting substances(9-11). Here we show that these widely reported circulation trends paused, or slightly reversed, around the year 2000. Using a pattern-based detection and attribution analysis of atmospheric zonal wind, we show that the pause in circulation trends is forced by human activities, and has not occurred owing only to internal or natural variability of the climate system. Furthermore, we demonstrate that stratospheric ozone recovery, resulting from the Montreal Protocol, is the key driver of the pause. Because pre-2000 circulation trends have affected precipitation(12-14), and potentially ocean circulation and salinity(15-17), we anticipate that a pause in these trends will have wider impacts on the Earth system. Signatures of the effects of the Montreal Protocol and the associated stratospheric ozone recovery might therefore manifest, or have already manifested, in other aspects of the Earth system.


  
Coupling of Indo-Pacific climate variability over the last millennium 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Chow, Brian W.;  Nunez, Vicente;  Kaplan, Luke;  Granger, Adam J.;  Bistrong, Karina;  Zucker, Hannah L.;  Kumar, Payal;  Sabatini, Bernardo L.;  Gu, Chenghua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:62/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Coral records indicate that the variability of the Indian Ocean Dipole over the last millennium is strongly coupled to variability in the El Nino/Southern Oscillation and that recent extremes are unusual but not unprecedented.


The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) affects climate and rainfall across the world, and most severely in nations surrounding the Indian Ocean(1-4). The frequency and intensity of positive IOD events increased during the twentieth century(5) and may continue to intensify in a warming world(6). However, confidence in predictions of future IOD change is limited by known biases in IOD models(7) and the lack of information on natural IOD variability before anthropogenic climate change. Here we use precisely dated and highly resolved coral records from the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean, where the signature of IOD variability is strong and unambiguous, to produce a semi-continuous reconstruction of IOD variability that covers five centuries of the last millennium. Our reconstruction demonstrates that extreme positive IOD events were rare before 1960. However, the most extreme event on record (1997) is not unprecedented, because at least one event that was approximately 27 to 42 per cent larger occurred naturally during the seventeenth century. We further show that a persistent, tight coupling existed between the variability of the IOD and the El Nino/Southern Oscillation during the last millennium. Indo-Pacific coupling was characterized by weak interannual variability before approximately 1590, which probably altered teleconnection patterns, and by anomalously strong variability during the seventeenth century, which was associated with societal upheaval in tropical Asia. A tendency towards clustering of positive IOD events is evident in our reconstruction, which-together with the identification of extreme IOD variability and persistent tropical Indo-Pacific climate coupling-may have implications for improving seasonal and decadal predictions and managing the climate risks of future IOD variability.


  
Ice front blocking of ocean heat transport to an Antarctic ice shelf 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 578 (7796) : 568-+
作者:  Alexandrov, Ludmil B.;  Kim, Jaegil;  Haradhvala, Nicholas J.;  Huang, Mi Ni;  Ng, Alvin Wei Tian;  Wu, Yang;  Boot, Arnoud;  Covington, Kyle R.;  Gordenin, Dmitry A.;  Bergstrom, Erik N.;  Islam, S. M. Ashiqul;  Lopez-Bigas, Nuria;  Klimczak, Leszek J.;  McPherson, John R.;  Morganella, Sandro;  Sabarinathan, Radhakrishnan;  Wheeler, David A.;  Mustonen, Ville;  Getz, Gad;  Rozen, Steven G.;  Stratton, Michael R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:57/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

The front of the Getz Ice Shelf in West Antarctica creates an abrupt topographic step that deflects ocean currents, suppressing 70% of the heat delivery to the ice sheet.


Mass loss from the Antarctic Ice Sheet to the ocean has increased in recent decades, largely because the thinning of its floating ice shelves has allowed the outflow of grounded ice to accelerate(1,2). Enhanced basal melting of the ice shelves is thought to be the ultimate driver of change(2,3), motivating a recent focus on the processes that control ocean heat transport onto and across the seabed of the Antarctic continental shelf towards the ice(4-6). However, the shoreward heat flux typically far exceeds that required to match observed melt rates(2,7,8), suggesting that other critical controls exist. Here we show that the depth-independent (barotropic) component of the heat flow towards an ice shelf is blocked by the marked step shape of the ice front, and that only the depth-varying (baroclinic) component, which is typically much smaller, can enter the sub-ice cavity. Our results arise from direct observations of the Getz Ice Shelf system and laboratory experiments on a rotating platform. A similar blocking of the barotropic component may occur in other areas with comparable ice-bathymetry configurations, which may explain why changes in the density structure of the water column have been found to be a better indicator of basal melt rate variability than the heat transported onto the continental shelf(9). Representing the step topography of the ice front accurately in models is thus important for simulating ocean heat fluxes and induced melt rates.


  
Antarctic Sea Ice Expansion, Driven by Internal Variability, in the Presence of Increasing Atmospheric CO2 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Singh, H. A.;  Polvani, L. M.;  Rasch, P. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Internal Variability  Sea Ice  Antarctica  Southern Ocean  Satellite Era  Atmosphere-Ocean-Ice Interactions  
Disentangling and quantifying contributions of distinct forcing factors to the observed global sea level pressure field 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Vaideanu, Petru;  Dima, Mihai;  Pirloaga, Razvan;  Ionita, Monica
收藏  |  浏览/下载:33/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Sea level pressure  Ocean temperature  CO2  Internal modes of variability  Solar influence  
Mesoscale Air-Sea Interaction and Its Role in Eddy Energy Dissipation in the Kuroshio Extension 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (24) : 8659-8676
作者:  Yang, Haiyuan;  Chang, Ping;  Qui, Bo;  Zhang, Qiuying;  Wu, Lixin;  Chen, Zhaohui;  Wang, Hong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:41/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Ocean  Atmosphere-ocean interaction  Eddies  Microscale processes  variability  Oceanic variability  
Mechanisms Reducing ENSO Amplitude and Asymmetry via an Enhanced Seasonal Cycle in the Mid-Holocene 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (23) : 8069-8085
作者:  Iwakiri, Tomoki;  Watanabe, Masahiro
收藏  |  浏览/下载:28/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Atmosphere  Air-sea interaction  Atmosphere-ocean interaction  Climate variability  El Nino  ENSO