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DeepMind开发的概率天气模型预报技能超过传统天气预报 快报文章
气候变化快报，2024年第24期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(15Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：539/1  |  提交时间：2024/12/20
Probabilistic Weather Model  GenCast  Numerical Weather Prediction  
Verification of high resolution (12 km) Global Ensemble Prediction System 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 236
作者:  Mamgain, Ashu;  Sarkar, Abhijit;  Rajagopal, E. N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Ensemble Prediction System  Ensemble member  Probabilistic forecasts  Ensemble-spread  Brier score  Reliability diagram  
Probabilistic Forecasting of El Nino Using Neural Network Models 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (6)
作者:  Petersik, Paul Johannes;  Dijkstra, Henk A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
El Nino  prediction  machine learning  neural networks  probabilistic forecasting  
Benefits of Explicit Treatment of Zero Flows in Probabilistic Hydrological Modeling of Ephemeral Catchments 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (12) : 11035-11060
作者:  McInerney, David;  Kavetski, Dmitri;  Thyer, Mark;  Lerat, Julien;  Kuczera, George
收藏  |  浏览/下载：19/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/16
probabilistic streamflow prediction  ephemeral catchments  residual error model  zero flow  censoring approach  Box-Cox transformation  
A statistical method based on the ensemble probability density function for the prediction of "Wind Days" 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 216: 106-116
作者:  Tateo, A.;  Miglietta, M. M.;  Fedele, F.;  Menegotto, M.;  Pollice, A.;  Bellotti, R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Probabilistic prediction approaches  GEFS  Wind day  Heavy events prediction  
Multi-level emulation of complex climate model responses to boundary forcing data 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 1505-1531
作者:  Tran, Giang T.;  Oliver, Kevin I. C.;  Holden, Philip B.;  Edwards, Neil R.;  Sobester, Andras;  Challenor, Peter
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Probabilistic prediction  Multi-level emulators  Model hierarchy  Spatio-temporal data  Intermediate complexity model  
Precipitation Prediction Skill for the West Coast United States: From Short to Extended Range 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (1) : 161-182
作者:  Pan, Baoxiang;  Hsu, Kuolin;  AghaKouchak, Amir;  Sorooshian, Soroosh;  Higgins, Wayne
收藏  |  浏览/下载：23/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
La Nina  Madden-Julian oscillation  Forecast verification  skill  Hindcasts  Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (PQPF)  Short-range prediction  
A New Approach to Improve the Track Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Over North Indian Ocean 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (15) : 7781-7789
作者:  Ganesh, S. Saranya;  Sahai, A. K.;  Abhilash, S.;  Joseph, S.;  Dey, A.;  Mandal, R.;  Chattopadhyay, R.;  Phani, R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：16/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
North Indian Ocean cyclonic storms  tropical cyclone track prediction  bias-correction and signal amplification technique  Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction System  probabilistic forecasting  
On the Relationship Between Probabilistic and Deterministic Skills in Dynamical Seasonal Climate Prediction 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (10) : 5261-5283
作者:  Yang, Dejian;  Yang, Xiu-Qun;  Ye, Dan;  Sun, Xuguang;  Fang, Jiabei;  Chu, Cuijiao;  Feng, Tao;  Jiang, Yiquan;  Liang, Jin;  Ren, Xuejuan;  Zhang, Yaocun;  Tang, Youmin
收藏  |  浏览/下载：22/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
seasonal climate prediction  dynamical forecast  forecast skill  probabilistic forecast  deterministic forecast  reliability and resolution  
Skill of ECMWF system-4 ensemble seasonal climate forecasts for East Africa 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2017, 37 (5)
作者:  Ogutu, Geoffrey E. O.;  Franssen, Wietse H. P.;  Supit, Iwan;  Omondi, P.;  Hutjes, Ronald W. A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
seasonal climate forecasts  East Africa  bias correction  probabilistic verification  ensemble prediction