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Identifying Actionable Compromises: Navigating Multi-City Robustness Conflicts to Discover Cooperative Safe Operating Spaces for Regional Water Supply Portfolios 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019
作者:  Gold, D. F.;  Reed, P. M.;  Trindade, B. C.;  Characklis, G. W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:23/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
safe operating space  deep uncertainty  multi-actor systems  regional water portfolio management  multi-stakeholder robustness tradeoffs  scenario discovery  
Uncertainty component estimates in transient climate projections Precision of estimators in a single time or time series approach 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2501-2516
作者:  Hingray, Benoit;  Blanchet, Juliette;  Evin, Guillaume;  Vidal, Jean-Philippe
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Uncertainty sources  Climate projections  ANOVA  Internal variability  Model uncertainty  Scenario uncertainty  Precision of estimates  
Optimizing surveillance strategies for early detection of invasive alien species 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2019, 162: 87-99
作者:  Yemshanov, Denys;  Haight, Robert G.;  Koch, Frank H.;  Venette, Robert C.;  Swystun, Tom;  Fournier, Ronald E.;  Marcotte, Mireille;  Chen, Yongguang;  Turgeon, Jean J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Uncertainty  Early detection survey  Time to first detection  Scenario-based model  Conditional value-at-risk  Asian longhomed beetle  Ambiguity aversion  
A method for investigating the relative importance of three components in overall uncertainty of climate projections 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (4) : 1853-1871
作者:  Zhuan, Meijia;  Chen, Jie;  Xu, Chong-Yu;  Zhao, Cha;  Xiong, Lihua;  Liu, Pan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
China  climate change  global climate model  greenhouse gases emissions scenario  internal climate variability  uncertainty  
Using a Scenario-Neutral Framework to Avoid Potential Maladaptation to Future Flood Risk 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (2) : 1079-1104
作者:  Broderick, Ciaran;  Murphy, Conor;  Wilby, Robert L.;  Matthews, Tom;  Prudhomme, Christel;  Adamson, Mark
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
climate change  flooding  hydrological model uncertainty  scenario neutral  Ireland  catchment regionalization  
Exploring How Changing Monsoonal Dynamics and Human Pressures Challenge Multireservoir Management for Flood Protection, Hydropower Production, and Agricultural Water Supply 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2018, 54 (7) : 4638-4662
作者:  Quinn, J. D.;  Reed, P. M.;  Giuliani, M.;  Castelletti, A.;  Oyler, J. W.;  Nicholas, R. E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
multisectoral trade-offs  deep uncertainty  robustness  scenario discovery  streamflow generation  reservoir operations  
Multihazard Scenarios for Analysis of Compound Extreme Events 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (11) : 5470-5480
作者:  Sadegh, Mojtaba;  Moftakhari, Hamed;  Gupta, Hoshin V.;  Ragno, Elisa;  Mazdiyasni, Omid;  Sanders, Brett;  Matthew, Richard;  AghaKouchak, Amir
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
compound extremes  multihazard scenario  copula  Bayesian inference  uncertainty assessment  
Robust Surveillance and Control of Invasive Species Using a Scenario Optimization Approach 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2017, 133
作者:  Yemshanov, Denys;  Haight, Robert G.;  Koch, Frank H.;  Lu, Bo;  Venette, Robert;  Fournier, Ronald E.;  Turgeon, Jean J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Asian longhorned beetle  Uncertainty  Scenario-based model  Mixed integer programming  Robust optimization  Human-mediated spread