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Deterministic Skill of Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts for the East Africa-West Asia Sector from September to May 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (22) : 11887-11896
作者:  Vigaud, N.;  Tippett, M. K.;  Robertson, A. W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
S2S rainfall forecasts show statistically significant skill in the East Africa-West Asia sector out to Week 4  Forecast skill of dynamical models exceeds that of statistical models based on ENSO and the MJO  Tropical-temperate interactions may represent a new source of S2S predictability  
The dynamics of cyclones in the twentyfirst century: the Eastern Mediterranean as an example 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Hochman, Assaf;  Alpert, Pinhas;  Kunin, Pavel;  Rostkier-Edelstein, Dorita;  Harpaz, Tzvi;  Saaroni, Hadas;  Messori, Gabriele
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Cyprus low  Cyclone predictability  Climate change  Cyclone dynamics  Synoptic classification  Dynamical systems  Statistical downscaling  Daily precipitation  
Investigating the predictability of North Atlantic sea surface height 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2175-2195
作者:  Fraser, Robert;  Palmer, Matthew;  Roberts, Christopher;  Wilson, Chris;  Copsey, Dan;  Zanna, Laure
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
North Atlantic Ocean  Sea surface height  Internal variability  Predictability  Optimal initial conditions  Statistical forecasting  
Statistical predictability of Nino indices for two types of ENSO 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 5361-5382
作者:  Ren, Hong-Li;  Zuo, Jinqing;  Deng, Yi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Two types of ENSO  Statistical predictability  Nino indices  Precursors  
On climate prediction: how much can we expect from climate memory? 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 855-864
作者:  Yuan, Naiming;  Huang, Yan;  Duan, Jianping;  Zhu, Congwen;  Xoplaki, Elena;  Luterbacher, Juerg
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Long-term climate memory  Climate predictability  Climate prediction  Fractional integral statistical model  
Linear and nonlinear regression prediction of surface wind components 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 3291-3309
作者:  Mao, Yiwen;  Monahan, Adam
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Statistical prediction  Linear regression  nonlinear regression  Predictability of surface winds