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至2025年大气二氧化碳浓度将攀升至330万年来最高值 快报文章
气候变化快报,2020年第15期
作者:  裴惠娟
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:346/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/05
Mid-Piacenzian Warm Period  Atmospheric CO2  
Potential for large-scale CO2 removal via enhanced rock weathering with croplands 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7815) : 242-+
作者:  David J. Beerling;  Euripides P. Kantzas;  Mark R. Lomas;  Peter Wade;  Rafael M. Eufrasio;  Phil Renforth;  Binoy Sarkar;  M. Grace Andrews;  Rachael H. James;  Christopher R. Pearce;  Jean-Francois Mercure;  Hector Pollitt;  Philip B. Holden;  Neil R. Edwards;  Madhu Khanna;  Lenny Koh;  Shaun Quegan;  Nick F. Pidgeon;  Ivan A. Janssens;  James Hansen;  Steven A. Banwart
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/14

Enhanced silicate rock weathering (ERW), deployable with croplands, has potential use for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) removal (CDR), which is now necessary to mitigate anthropogenic climate change(1). ERW also has possible co-benefits for improved food and soil security, and reduced ocean acidification(2-4). Here we use an integrated performance modelling approach to make an initial techno-economic assessment for 2050, quantifying how CDR potential and costs vary among nations in relation to business-as-usual energy policies and policies consistent with limiting future warming to 2 degrees Celsius(5). China, India, the USA and Brazil have great potential to help achieve average global CDR goals of 0.5 to 2gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) per year with extraction costs of approximately US$80-180 per tonne of CO2. These goals and costs are robust, regardless of future energy policies. Deployment within existing croplands offers opportunities to align agriculture and climate policy. However, success will depend upon overcoming political and social inertia to develop regulatory and incentive frameworks. We discuss the challenges and opportunities of ERW deployment, including the potential for excess industrial silicate materials (basalt mine overburden, concrete, and iron and steel slag) to obviate the need for new mining, as well as uncertainties in soil weathering rates and land-ocean transfer of weathered products.


  
Estimating US fossil fuel CO2 emissions from measurements of C-14 in atmospheric CO2 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (24) : 13300-13307
作者:  Basu, Sourish;  Lehman, Scott J.;  Miller, John B.;  Andrews, Arlyn E.;  Sweeney, Colm;  Gurney, Kevin R.;  Xu, Xiaomei;  Southon, John;  Tans, Pieter P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/09
fossil fuel CO2  radiocarbon  atmospheric inverse modeling  
Predictability Horizons in the Global Carbon Cycle Inferred From a Perfect-Model Framework 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Spring, Aaron;  Ilyina, Tatiana
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
decadal predictability  atmospheric CO2  carbon fluxes  internal variability  Earth System Model  
The fate of carbon in a mature forest under carbon dioxide enrichment 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7802) : 227-+
作者:  Sun, P. Z.;  Yang, Q.;  Kuang, W. J.;  Stebunov, Y. V.;  Xiong, W. Q.;  Yu, J.;  Nair, R. R.;  Katsnelson, M. I.;  Yuan, S. J.;  Grigorieva, I. V.;  Lozada-Hidalgo, M.;  Wang, F. C.;  Geim, A. K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:70/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Carbon dioxide enrichment of a mature forest resulted in the emission of the excess carbon back into the atmosphere via enhanced ecosystem respiration, suggesting that mature forests may be limited in their capacity to mitigate climate change.


Atmospheric carbon dioxide enrichment (eCO(2)) can enhance plant carbon uptake and growth(1-5), thereby providing an important negative feedback to climate change by slowing the rate of increase of the atmospheric CO2 concentration(6). Although evidence gathered from young aggrading forests has generally indicated a strong CO2 fertilization effect on biomass growth(3-5), it is unclear whether mature forests respond to eCO(2) in a similar way. In mature trees and forest stands(7-10), photosynthetic uptake has been found to increase under eCO(2) without any apparent accompanying growth response, leaving the fate of additional carbon fixed under eCO(2) unclear(4,5,7-11). Here using data from the first ecosystem-scale Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) experiment in a mature forest, we constructed a comprehensive ecosystem carbon budget to track the fate of carbon as the forest responded to four years of eCO(2) exposure. We show that, although the eCO(2) treatment of +150 parts per million (+38 per cent) above ambient levels induced a 12 per cent (+247 grams of carbon per square metre per year) increase in carbon uptake through gross primary production, this additional carbon uptake did not lead to increased carbon sequestration at the ecosystem level. Instead, the majority of the extra carbon was emitted back into the atmosphere via several respiratory fluxes, with increased soil respiration alone accounting for half of the total uptake surplus. Our results call into question the predominant thinking that the capacity of forests to act as carbon sinks will be generally enhanced under eCO(2), and challenge the efficacy of climate mitigation strategies that rely on ubiquitous CO2 fertilization as a driver of increased carbon sinks in global forests.


  
Short-term tests validate long-term estimates of climate change 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 582 (7811) : 185-186
作者:  Tollefson, Jeff
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Climate sensitivity to atmospheric CO2 levels is likely to be high.


Six-hour weather forecasts have been used to validate estimates of climate change hundreds of years from now. Such tests have great potential - but only if our weather-forecasting and climate-prediction systems are unified.


  
State of the science in reconciling top-down and bottom-up approaches for terrestrial CO2 budget 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Kondo, Masayuki;  Patra, Prabir K.;  Sitch, Stephen;  Friedlingstein, Pierre;  Poulter, Benjamin;  Chevallier, Frederic;  Ciais, Philippe;  Canadell, Josep G.;  Bastos, Ana;  Lauerwald, Ronny;  Calle, Leonardo;  Ichii, Kazuhito;  Anthoni, Peter;  Arneth, Almut;  Haverd, Vanessa;  Jain, Atul K.;  Kato, Etsushi;  Kautz, Markus;  Law, Rachel M.;  Lienert, Sebastian;  Lombardozzi, Danica;  Maki, Takashi;  Nakamura, Takashi;  Peylin, Philippe;  Roedenbeck, Christian;  Zhuravlev, Ruslan;  Saeki, Tazu;  Tian, Hanqin;  Zhu, Dan;  Ziehn, Tilo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
atmospheric inversion  biosphere model  carbon stock change  CO2 evasion  land-use change emissions  net CO2 flux  residual land uptake  riverine carbon export  terrestrial CO2 budget  
Mean European Carbon Sink Over 2010-2015 Estimated by Simultaneous Assimilation of Atmospheric CO2, Soil Moisture, and Vegetation Optical Depth 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (23) : 13796-13803
作者:  Scholze, M.;  Kaminski, T.;  Knorr, W.;  Vossbeck, M.;  Wu, M.;  Ferrazzoli, P.;  Kerr, Y.;  Mialon, A.;  Richaume, P.;  Rodriguez-Fernandez, N.;  Vittucci, C.;  Wigneron, J-P;  Mecklenburg, S.;  Drusch, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
European CO2 sink  carbon cycle data assimilation  SMOS soil moisture  SMOS VOD  atmospheric CO2 concentration  
Acceleration of Ocean Acidification in the Western North Pacific 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13161-13169
作者:  Ono, Hisashi;  Kosugi, Naohiro;  Toyama, Katsuya;  Tsujino, Hiroyuki;  Kojima, Atsushi;  Enyo, Kazutaka;  Iida, Yosuke;  Nakano, Toshiya;  Ishii, Masao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
acceleration  atmospheric CO2 increase  decadal variability  meridional variability  ocean acidification  western North Pacific  
Permafrost-carbon mobilization in Beringia caused by deglacial meltwater runoff, sea-level rise and warming 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (8)
作者:  Meyer, Vera D.;  Hefter, Jens;  Koehler, Peter;  Tiedemann, Ralf;  Gersonde, Rainer;  Wacker, Lukas;  Mollenhauer, Gesine
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
deglaciation  permafrost decomposition  Beringia  Bering Sea  biomarker  atmospheric CO2  Northwest Pacific