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Multi-year prediction of European summer drought conditions for the agricultural sector 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (12)
作者:  Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan;  Caron, Louis-Philippe;  Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
decadal forecast  drought  forecast quality assessment  
Forecast-Oriented Assessment of Decadal Hindcast Skill for North Atlantic SST 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Borchert, Leonard F.;  Duesterhus, Andre;  Brune, Sebastian;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.;  Baehr, Johanna
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
decadal climate prediction  North Atlantic  ocean heat transport  forecast verification  
Statistical Learning Methods as a Basis for Skillful Seasonal Temperature Forecasts in Europe 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (17) : 5363-5379
作者:  Kamarainen, Matti;  Uotila, Petteri;  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Hyvarinen, Otto;  Lehtonen, Ilari;  Raisanen, Jouni
收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Europe  Principal components analysis  Forecast verification  skill  Seasonal forecasting  Statistical forecasting  Decadal variability  
Forecasting the climate response to volcanic eruptions: prediction skill related to stratospheric aerosol forcing 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (6)
作者:  Menegoz, M.;  Bilbao, R.;  Bellprat, O.;  Guemas, V.;  Doblas-Reyes, F. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ENSO  decadal forecast  climate variability  volcanic aerosols  skill of forecast systems  
Anomaly transform methods based on total energy and ocean heat content norms for generating ocean dynamic disturbances for ensemble climate forecasts 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49 (3)
作者:  Romanova, Vanya;  Hense, Andreas
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Initialization of decadal forecast  Anomaly transform method  Orthogonal disturbances  Total energy norm