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The Orinoco Low-Level Jet: An Investigation of Its Mechanisms of Formation Using the WRF Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (13)
作者:  Jimenez-Sanchez, Giovanni;  Markowski, Paul M.;  Young, George S.;  Stensrud, David J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:32/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
Orinoco low-level jet  forcing mechanisms  dynamical downscaling  momentum balance analysis  LLJs near the equator may originate from processes other than the inertial oscillation  LLJs near the equator may originate from processes other than topographic thermal forcing  
Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:27/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
Attribution of the East Asian Winter Temperature Trends During 1979-2018: Role of External Forcing and Internal Variability 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Gong, Hainan;  Wang, Lin;  Chen, Wen;  Wu, Renguang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
East Asia  temperature trend  external forcing  internal variability  dynamical adjustment  quantitative analysis  
Observed Responses of Mesospheric Water Vapor to Solar Cycle and Dynamical Forcings 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (7) : 3830-3843
作者:  Remsberg, Ellis;  Damadeo, Robert;  Natarajan, Murali;  Bhatt, Praful
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
mesosphere  water vapor  HALOE  response to solar cycle  dynamical forcing  regression