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Changes in future rainfall extremes over Northeast Bangladesh: A Bayesian model averaging approach 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Abul Basher, Md;  Islam, A. K. M. Saiful;  Stiller-Reeve, Mathew A.;  Chu, Pao-Shin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Bayesian model averaging  climate change  multi-model ensemble mean  rainfall extremes  regional climate models  representative concentration pathways  
Improved probabilistic twenty-first century projections of sea surface temperature over East Asian marginal seas by considering uncertainty owing to model error and internal variability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 6075-6087
作者:  Shin, Jongsoo;  Olson, Roman;  An, Soon-Il
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
East Asian marginal seas  Sea surface temperature  Multi-model ensemble  Bayesian model averaging  
Statistical Postprocessing of Water Level Forecasts Using Bayesian Model Averaging With Doubly Truncated Normal Components 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (5) : 3997-4013
作者:  Baran, Sandor;  Hemri, Stephan;  El Ayari, Mehrez
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Bayesian model averaging  Box-Cox transformation  ensemble model output statistics  ensemble postprocessing  probabilistic forecasting  truncated normal distribution  
Model consensus projections of US regional hydroclimates under greenhouse warming 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (1)
作者:  Phillips, Thomas J.;  Bonfils, Celine J. W.;  Zhang, Chengzhu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
hydroclimatic change  greenhouse warming  climate modeling  ensemble averaging  
Assessing the reliability and uncertainties of projected changes in precipitation and temperature in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 models over the Lake Chad basin 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (14) : 5136-5152
作者:  Nkiaka, Elias;  Nawaz, Rizwan;  Lovett, Jon C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  climate projections  CMIP5  Lake Chad basin  reliability ensemble averaging  simple model averaging  uncertainty quantification  
Criteria to evaluate the validity of multi-model ensemble methods 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (8) : 3432-3438
作者:  Zhang, Xianliang;  Yan, Xiaodong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Bayesian model averaging  boundary preservation criterion  multi-model ensemble  multiple linear regression  order preservation criterion  
Ensemble evaluation and projection of climate extremes in China using RMIP models 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (4) : 2039-2055
作者:  Niu, Xiaorui;  Wang, Shuyu;  Tang, Jianping;  Lee, Dong-Kyou;  Gutowski, William;  Dairaku, Koji;  McGregor, John;  Katzfey, Jack;  Gao, Xuejie;  Wu, Jia;  Hong, Song-you;  Wang, Yuqing;  Sasaki, Hidetaka;  Fu, Congbin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
multi-model ensemble  performance-based ensemble averaging approach  extreme temperature  extreme precipitation  
Regional patterns of future runoff changes from Earth system models constrained by observation 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 44 (11)
作者:  Yang, Hui;  Zhou, Feng;  Piao, Shilong;  Huang, Mengtian;  Chen, Anping;  Ciais, Philippe;  Li, Yue;  Lian, Xu;  Peng, Shushi;  Zeng, Zhenzhong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
runoff change  future projection  Earth system model  multimodel ensemble  Bayesian model averaging