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NOAA报告显示2021年是有记录以来的第六热年份 快报文章
气候变化快报,2022年第03期
作者:  董利苹
Microsoft Word(17Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:774/0  |  提交时间:2022/02/06
Global Climate  global surface temperature  Ocean Heat Content  Snow  Sea Ice  Tropical Cyclones  
全球变暖已达到至少6000年未见的水平 快报文章
气候变化快报,2020年第14期
作者:  董利苹
Microsoft Word(13Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:385/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/20
Holocene  Global Mean Surface Temperature  Multi-method Reconstruction Approach  
Highly porous nature of a primitive asteroid revealed by thermal imaging 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7800) : 518-522
作者:  Quinn, Robert A.;  Melnik, Alexey, V;  Vrbanac, Alison;  Fu, Ting;  Patras, Kathryn A.;  Christy, Mitchell P.;  Bodai, Zsolt;  Belda-Ferre, Pedro;  Tripathi, Anupriya;  Chung, Lawton K.;  Downes, Michael;  Welch, Ryan D.;  Quinn, Melissa;  Humphrey, Greg;  Panitchpakdi, Morgan;  Weldon, Kelly C.;  Aksenov, Alexander;  da Silva, Ricardo;  Avila-Pacheco, Julian;  Clish, Clary;  Bae, Sena;  Mallick, Himel;  Franzosa, Eric A.;  Lloyd-Price, Jason;  Bussell, Robert;  Thron, Taren;  Nelson, Andrew T.;  Wang, Mingxun;  Leszczynski, Eric;  Vargas, Fernando;  Gauglitz, Julia M.;  Meehan, Michael J.;  Gentry, Emily;  Arthur, Timothy D.;  Komor, Alexis C.;  Poulsen, Orit;  Boland, Brigid S.;  Chang, John T.;  Sandborn, William J.;  Lim, Meerana;  Garg, Neha;  Lumeng, Julie C.;  Xavier, Ramnik J.;  Kazmierczak, Barbara, I;  Jain, Ruchi;  Egan, Marie;  Rhee, Kyung E.;  Ferguson, David;  Raffatellu, Manuela;  Vlamakis, Hera;  Haddad, Gabriel G.;  Siegel, Dionicio;  Huttenhower, Curtis;  Mazmanian, Sarkis K.;  Evans, Ronald M.;  Nizet, Victor;  Knight, Rob;  Dorrestein, Pieter C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:95/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Carbonaceous (C-type) asteroids(1) are relics of the early Solar System that have preserved primitive materials since their formation approximately 4.6 billion years ago. They are probably analogues of carbonaceous chondrites(2,3) and are essential for understanding planetary formation processes. However, their physical properties remain poorly known because carbonaceous chondrite meteoroids tend not to survive entry to Earth'  s atmosphere. Here we report on global one-rotation thermographic images of the C-type asteroid 162173 Ryugu, taken by the thermal infrared imager (TIR)(4) onboard the spacecraft Hayabusa2(5), indicating that the asteroid'  s boulders and their surroundings have similar temperatures, with a derived thermal inertia of about 300 J m(-2) s(-0.5) K-1 (300 tiu). Contrary to predictions that the surface consists of regolith and dense boulders, this low thermal inertia suggests that the boulders are more porous than typical carbonaceous chondrites(6) and that their surroundings are covered with porous fragments more than 10 centimetres in diameter. Close-up thermal images confirm the presence of such porous fragments and the flat diurnal temperature profiles suggest a strong surface roughness effect(7,8). We also observed in the close-up thermal images boulders that are colder during the day, with thermal inertia exceeding 600 tiu, corresponding to dense boulders similar to typical carbonaceous chondrites(6). These results constrain the formation history of Ryugu: the asteroid must be a rubble pile formed from impact fragments of a parent body with microporosity(9) of approximately 30 to 50 per cent that experienced a low degree of consolidation. The dense boulders might have originated from the consolidated innermost region or they may have an exogenic origin. This high-porosity asteroid may link cosmic fluffy dust to dense celestial bodies(10).


Thermal imaging data obtained from the spacecraft Hayabusa2 reveal that the carbonaceous asteroid 162173 Ryugu is an object of unusually high porosity.


  
The past and future of global river ice 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7788) : 69-+
作者:  Yang, Xiao;  Pavelsky, Tamlin M.;  Allen, George H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:41/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

More than one-third of Earth'  s landmass is drained by rivers that seasonally freeze over. Ice transforms the hydrologic(1,2), ecologic(3,4), climatic(5) and socio-economic(6-8) functions of river corridors. Although river ice extent has been shown to be declining in many regions of the world(1), the seasonality, historical change and predicted future changes in river ice extent and duration have not yet been quantified globally. Previous studies of river ice, which suggested that declines in extent and duration could be attributed to warming temperatures(9,10), were based on data from sparse locations. Furthermore, existing projections of future ice extent are based solely on the location of the 0-degrees C isotherm11. Here, using satellite observations, we show that the global extent of river ice is declining, and we project a mean decrease in seasonal ice duration of 6.10 +/- 0.08 days per 1-degrees C increase in global mean surface air temperature. We tracked the extent of river ice using over 400,000 clear-sky Landsat images spanning 1984-2018 and observed a mean decline of 2.5 percentage points globally in the past three decades. To project future changes in river ice extent, we developed an observationally calibrated and validated model, based on temperature and season, which reduced the mean bias by 87 per cent compared with the 0-degree-Celsius isotherm approach. We applied this model to future climate projections for 2080-2100: compared with 2009-2029, the average river ice duration declines by 16.7 days under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5, whereas under RCP 4.5 it declines on average by 7.3 days. Our results show that, globally, river ice is measurably declining and will continue to decline linearly with projected increases in surface air temperature towards the end of this century.


  
US temperatures: Time trends and persistence 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (13) : 5091-5103
作者:  Gil-Alana, Luis A.;  Sauci, Laura
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
climate change  fractional integration  global warming  long memory  time trend  surface temperature  
Regional climate model projections underestimate future warming due to missing plant physiological CO2 response 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (11)
作者:  Schwingshackl, Clemens;  Davin, Edouard L.;  Hirschi, Martin;  Sorland, Silje Lund;  Wartenburger, Richard;  Seneviratne, Sonia I.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
plant physiology  CO2 effect  evapotranspiration  near-surface air temperature  climate change  regional climate modelling  global climate modelling  
The global warming hiatus has faded away: An analysis of 2014-2016 global surface air temperatures 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (12) : 4853-4868
作者:  Zhang, Chao;  Li, Shuanglin;  Luo, Feifei;  Huang, Zhen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:22/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
global annual surface temperature  record warming in recent years  timescale separation  warming hiatus  
More extreme marine heatwaves in the China Seas during the global warming hiatus 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (10)
作者:  Li, Yan;  Ren, Guoyu;  Wang, Qingyuan;  You, Qinglong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
marine heatwave  sea surface temperature  global warming hiatus  China seas  
How likely is an El Nino to break the global mean surface temperature record during the 21st century? 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (9)
作者:  Hsu, Chia-Wei;  Yin, Jianjun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
CMIP5  global mean surface temperature  El Nino  record-breaking  
Impacts of global warming on the surface water balance components in Iran as simulated by RegCM4 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (5) : 2646-2658
作者:  Moslemzadeh, Elham;  Irannejad, Parviz;  Alizadeh-Choobari, Omid
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
global warming  precipitation  RCP4  5 and RCP8  5 scenarios  RegCM4  surface temperature