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ISMIP6分析南极和格陵兰冰盖对未来海平面的贡献 快报文章
气候变化快报,2020年第19期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(15Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:443/0  |  提交时间:2020/09/29
Greenland  Antarctica  Ice Sheet  Sea-level Rise  Mass Loss  Ensemble  Representative Concentration Pathway  
Changes in the Arctic Ocean Carbon Cycle With Diminishing Ice Cover 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (12)
作者:  DeGrandpre, Michael;  Evans, Wiley;  Timmermans, Mary-Louise;  Krishfield, Richard;  Williams, Bill;  Steele, Michael
收藏  |  浏览/下载:26/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
Arctic Ocean  ice concentration  seawater CO2  interannual variability  Canada Basin  shipboard CO2 measurements  
High ice concentration observed in tropical maritime stratiform mixed-phase clouds with top temperatures warmer than-8 degrees C 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 233
作者:  Yang, Jing;  Wang, Zhien;  Heymsfield, Andrew J.;  DeMott, Paul J.;  Twohy, Cynthia H.;  Suski, Kaitlyn J.;  Toohey, Darin W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:27/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
High ice concentration  Stratiform cloud  Warm temperature  Aircraft observation  Parcel model simulation  
The past and future of global river ice 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7788) : 69-+
作者:  Yang, Xiao;  Pavelsky, Tamlin M.;  Allen, George H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:42/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

More than one-third of Earth'  s landmass is drained by rivers that seasonally freeze over. Ice transforms the hydrologic(1,2), ecologic(3,4), climatic(5) and socio-economic(6-8) functions of river corridors. Although river ice extent has been shown to be declining in many regions of the world(1), the seasonality, historical change and predicted future changes in river ice extent and duration have not yet been quantified globally. Previous studies of river ice, which suggested that declines in extent and duration could be attributed to warming temperatures(9,10), were based on data from sparse locations. Furthermore, existing projections of future ice extent are based solely on the location of the 0-degrees C isotherm11. Here, using satellite observations, we show that the global extent of river ice is declining, and we project a mean decrease in seasonal ice duration of 6.10 +/- 0.08 days per 1-degrees C increase in global mean surface air temperature. We tracked the extent of river ice using over 400,000 clear-sky Landsat images spanning 1984-2018 and observed a mean decline of 2.5 percentage points globally in the past three decades. To project future changes in river ice extent, we developed an observationally calibrated and validated model, based on temperature and season, which reduced the mean bias by 87 per cent compared with the 0-degree-Celsius isotherm approach. We applied this model to future climate projections for 2080-2100: compared with 2009-2029, the average river ice duration declines by 16.7 days under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5, whereas under RCP 4.5 it declines on average by 7.3 days. Our results show that, globally, river ice is measurably declining and will continue to decline linearly with projected increases in surface air temperature towards the end of this century.


  
Climate prediction of summer extreme precipitation frequency in the Yangtze River valley based on sea surface temperature in the southern Indian Ocean and ice concentration in the Beaufort Sea 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Tian, Baoqiang;  Fan, Ke
收藏  |  浏览/下载:38/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Beaufort Sea  climate prediction  extreme heavy precipitation  sea-ice concentration  southern Indian Ocean  SST  Yangtze River valley  
Summer albedo variations in the Arctic Sea ice region from 1982 to 2015 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Peng, Hai-Tao;  Ke, Chang-Qing;  Shen, Xiaoyi;  Li, Mengmeng;  Shao, Zhu-De
收藏  |  浏览/下载:33/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
albedo  Arctic Sea ice region  Central Arctic Index  near-surface air temperature  sea ice concentration  trend  
Comparison of North Atlantic Oscillation-related changes in the North Atlantic sea ice and associated surface quantities on different time scales 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Wu, Renguang;  Wang, Yuqi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:34/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
different time scales  meridional advection  NAO  sea ice concentration  surface air temperature  
Impact of sea ice decline in the Arctic Ocean on the number of extreme low-temperature days over China 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Ge, Feifan;  Yan, Tao;  Zhou, Lu;  Jiang, Yuelin;  Li, Wei;  Fan, Yufen;  Wang, Yishu;  Mao, Kebiao;  Wu, Wenge
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Arctic  China  extreme low-temperature days  sea ice concentration  winter  
Ground level ice nucleating particles measurements at Capo Granitola, a Mediterranean coastal site 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 219: 57-64
作者:  Rinaldi, Matteo;  Nicosia, Alessia;  Santachiara, Gianni;  Piazza, Matteo;  Paglione, Marco;  Gilardoni, Stefania;  Sandrini, Silvia;  Cristofanelli, Paolo;  Marinoni, Angela;  Bonasoni, Paolo;  Facchini, Maria Cristina;  Belosi, Franco
收藏  |  浏览/下载:27/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Ice nucleating particles  Heterogeneous freezing  Saharan dust transport  Particle number concentration  
A Year-Round Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Sea Ice Prediction Portal 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (6) : 3298-3307
作者:  Wayand, N. E.;  Bitz, C. M.;  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Arctic  forecast  prediction  sea ice thickness  sea ice  sea ice concentration