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Ocean acidification does not impair the behaviour of coral reef fishes 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7790) : 370-+
作者:  Clark, Timothy D.;  Raby, Graham D.;  Roche, Dominique G.;  Binning, Sandra A.;  Speers-Roesch, Ben;  Jutfelt, Fredrik;  Sundin, Josefin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:26/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

The partial pressure of CO2 in the oceans has increased rapidly over the past century, driving ocean acidification and raising concern for the stability of marine ecosystems(1-3). Coral reef fishes are predicted to be especially susceptible to end-of-century ocean acidification on the basis of several high-profile papers(4,5) that have reported profound behavioural and sensory impairments-for example, complete attraction to the chemical cues of predators under conditions of ocean acidification. Here, we comprehensively and transparently show that-in contrast to previous studies-end-of-century ocean acidification levels have negligible effects on important behaviours of coral reef fishes, such as the avoidance of chemical cues from predators, fish activity levels and behavioural lateralization (left-right turning preference). Using data simulations, we additionally show that the large effect sizes and small within-group variances that have been reported in several previous studies are highly improbable. Together, our findings indicate that the reported effects of ocean acidification on the behaviour of coral reef fishes are not reproducible, suggesting that behavioural perturbations will not be a major consequence for coral reef fishes in high CO2 oceans.


  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:31/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Near surface ocean temperature uncertainty related to initial condition uncertainty 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4683-4700
作者:  Tokmakian, Robin;  Challenor, Peter
收藏  |  浏览/下载:20/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
GCM  Ocean  Emulators  Initial conditions  Surface Temperature  Uncertainty  
Investigating the predictability of North Atlantic sea surface height 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2175-2195
作者:  Fraser, Robert;  Palmer, Matthew;  Roberts, Christopher;  Wilson, Chris;  Copsey, Dan;  Zanna, Laure
收藏  |  浏览/下载:29/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
North Atlantic Ocean  Sea surface height  Internal variability  Predictability  Optimal initial conditions  Statistical forecasting  
The decadal shift of the long persistent rainfall over the northern part of China and the associated ocean conditions 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (6) : 3043-3056
作者:  Yan, Peiwen;  Huang, Danqing;  Zhu, Jian;  Kuang, Xueyuan;  Huang, Ying
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
decadal shift  East Asian jet stream  long persistent rainfall  northern China  ocean conditions  Silk Road pattern  
Effect of Air-Sea Environmental Conditions and Interfacial Processes on Extremely Intense Typhoon Haiyan (2013) 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (18) : 10360-10386
作者:  Wada, Akiyoshi;  Kanada, Sachie;  Yamada, Hiroyuki
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
tropical cyclone  atmosphere-wave-ocean coupled model  air-sea interfacial processes  initial conditions  
Performance evaluation of regional climate model to simulate sub-seasonal variability of Indian Summer Monsoon 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 50: 3595-3612
作者:  Umakanth, U.;  Kesarkar, Amit P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Regional climate model  Slab ocean model  Active and break conditions  Seasonal mean monsoon  Intraseasonal variability of the monsoon