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Killer whale presence drives bowhead whale selection for sea ice in Arctic seascapes of fear 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (12) : 6590-6598
作者:  Matthews, Cory J. D.;  Breed, Greg A.;  LeBlanc, Bernard;  Ferguson, Steven H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:53/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
nonconsumptive effects  predator-prey dynamics  state space model  risk effects  trait-mediated interactions  
Informing management decisions for ecological networks, using dynamic models calibrated to noisy time-series data 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2020, 23 (4) : 607-619
作者:  Adams, Matthew P.;  Sisson, Scott A.;  Helmstedt, Kate J.;  Baker, Christopher M.;  Holden, Matthew H.;  Plein, Michaela;  Holloway, Jacinta;  Mengersen, Kerrie L.;  McDonald-Madden, Eve
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Conservation  decision science  ecological forecasting  ecological modelling  food webs  interaction network  population dynamics  predator-prey interactions  prediction  uncertainty propagation  
Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:30/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
Modelling inducible defences in predator-prey interactions: assumptions and dynamical consequences of three distinct approaches 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (2) : 390-404
作者:  Yamamichi, Masato;  Klauschies, Toni;  Miner, Brooks E.;  van Velzen, Ellen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Adaptive dynamics  fitness gradient  inducible defence  optimal trait  phenotypic plasticity  predator-prey dynamics  reaction norm  switching function  
Temperature-dependent body size effects determine population responses to climate warming 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2018, 21 (2) : 181-189
作者:  Lindmark, Max;  Huss, Magnus;  Ohlberger, Jan;  Gardmark, Anna
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Allometric scaling  climate change  communities  consumer-resource dynamics  dynamic modelling  food webs  intraspecific competition  metabolic rate  predator-prey interactions  size structure