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Historical evaluations and simulations of precipitation over East Africa from Rossby centre regional climate model 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 232
作者:  Ayugi, Brian;  Tan, Guirong;  Gnitou, Gnim Tchalim;  Ojara, Moses;  Ongoma, Victor
收藏  |  浏览/下载:22/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
CORDEX  Greater Horn of Africa  Precipitation  Regional climate models  Rossby centre atmospheric models  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:31/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Blocking representation in the ERA-Interim driven EURO-CORDEX RCMs 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3291-3306
作者:  Jury, Martin Wolfgang;  Herrera, Sixto;  Gutierrez, Jose Manuel;  Barriopedro, David
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Atmospheric blocking  Regional climate models  Temperature bias  Precipitation bias  Reanalysis driven  EURO-CORDEX  
Influence of Dynamic and Thermal Forcing on the Meridional Transport of Taklimakan Desert Dust in Spring and Summer 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (3) : 749-767
作者:  Yuan, Tiangang;  Chen, Siyu;  Huang, Jianping;  Wu, Dongyou;  Lu, Hui;  Zhang, Guolong;  Ma, Xiaojun;  Chen, Ziqi;  Luo, Yuan;  Ma, Xiaohui
收藏  |  浏览/下载:28/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Atmospheric circulation  Heating  Transport  Regional models  Aerosol optical properties  Aerosol radiative effect  
Evaluation of major heat waves' mechanisms in EURO-CORDEX RCMs over Central Europe 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 50: 4249-4262
作者:  Lhotka, Ondrej;  Kysely, Jan;  Plavcova, Eva
收藏  |  浏览/下载:51/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Heat waves  Regional climate models  CORDEX  Atmospheric circulation  Land-atmosphere interactions  Central Europe  
Uncertainties in estimates of mortality attributable to ambient PM2.5 in Europe 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (6)
作者:  Kushta, Jonilda;  Pozzer, Andrea;  Lelieveld, Jos
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
mortality estimates  regional atmospheric models  impact of aerosols on human health  uncertainties in PM2.5  
Future changes in peak river flows across northern Eurasia as inferred from an ensemble of regional climate projections under the IPCC RCP8.5 scenario 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 50: 215-230
作者:  Shkolnik, Igor;  Pavlova, Tatiana;  Efimov, Sergey;  Zhuravlev, Sergey
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Regional atmospheric model  Hydrological models  Large ensemble  Climate projection  River discharge  Flood