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The timing and effect of the earliest human arrivals in North America 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Lorena Becerra-Valdivia;  Thomas Higham
收藏  |  浏览/下载:27/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09

The peopling of the Americas marks a major expansion of humans across the planet. However, questions regarding the timing and mechanisms of this dispersal remain, and the previously accepted model (termed '  Clovis-first'  )-suggesting that the first inhabitants of the Americas were linked with the Clovis tradition, a complex marked by distinctive fluted lithic points(1)-has been effectively refuted. Here we analyse chronometric data from 42 North American and Beringian archaeological sites using a Bayesian age modelling approach, and use the resulting chronological framework to elucidate spatiotemporal patterns of human dispersal. We then integrate these patterns with the available genetic and climatic evidence. The data obtained show that humans were probably present before, during and immediately after the Last Glacial Maximum (about 26.5-19 thousand years ago)(2,3)but that more widespread occupation began during a period of abrupt warming, Greenland Interstadial 1 (about 14.7-12.9 thousand years beforead 2000)(4). We also identify the near-synchronous commencement of Beringian, Clovis and Western Stemmed cultural traditions, and an overlap of each with the last dates for the appearance of 18 now-extinct faunal genera. Our analysis suggests that the widespread expansion of humans through North America was a key factor in the extinction of large terrestrial mammals.


A Bayesian age model suggests that human dispersal to the Americas probably began before the Last Glacial Maximum, overlapping with the last dates of appearance for several faunal genera.


  
Patterns and trends of Northern Hemisphere snow mass from 1980 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 581 (7808) : 294-+
作者:  Ibrahim, Nizar;  Maganuco, Simone;  Dal Sasso, Cristiano;  Fabbri, Matteo;  Auditore, Marco;  Bindellini, Gabriele;  Martill, David M.;  Zouhri, Samir;  Mattarelli, Diego A.;  Unwin, David M.;  Wiemann, Jasmina;  Bonadonna, Davide;  Amane, Ayoub;  Jakubczak, Juliana;  Joger, Ulrich;  Lauder, George V.;  Pierce, Stephanie E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25

Warming surface temperatures have driven a substantial reduction in the extent and duration of Northern Hemisphere snow cover(1-3). These changes in snow cover affect Earth'  s climate system via the surface energy budget, and influence freshwater resources across a large proportion of the Northern Hemisphere(4-6). In contrast to snow extent, reliable quantitative knowledge on seasonal snow mass and its trend is lacking(7-9). Here we use the new GlobSnow 3.0 dataset to show that the 1980-2018 annual maximum snow mass in the Northern Hemisphere was, on average, 3,062 +/- 35 billion tonnes (gigatonnes). Our quantification is for March (the month that most closely corresponds to peak snow mass), covers non-alpine regions above 40 degrees N and, crucially, includes a bias correction based on in-field snow observations. We compare our GlobSnow 3.0 estimates with three independent estimates of snow mass, each with and without the bias correction. Across the four datasets, the bias correction decreased the range from 2,433-3,380 gigatonnes (mean 2,867) to 2,846-3,062 gigatonnes (mean 2,938)-a reduction in uncertainty from 33% to 7.4%. On the basis of our bias-corrected GlobSnow 3.0 estimates, we find different continental trends over the 39-year satellite record. For example, snow mass decreased by 46 gigatonnes per decade across North America but had a negligible trend across Eurasia  both continents exhibit high regional variability. Our results enable a better estimation of the role of seasonal snow mass in Earth'  s energy, water and carbon budgets.


Applying a bias correction to a state-of-the-art dataset covering non-alpine regions of the Northern Hemisphere and to three other datasets yields a more constrained quantification of snow mass in March from 1980 to 2018.


  
Projected changes in wind assistance under climate change for nocturnally migrating bird populations 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (2) : 589-601
作者:  La Sorte, Frank A.;  Horton, Kyle G.;  Nilsson, Cecilia;  Dokter, Adriaan M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
global climate change  migration altitude  nocturnal migration  North America  seasonal bird migration  weather surveillance radar  wind assistance  
Rapid increase in Asian bottles in the South Atlantic Ocean indicates major debris inputs from ships 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (42) : 20892-20897
作者:  Ryan, Peter G.;  Dilley, Ben J.;  Ronconi, Robert A.;  Connan, Maelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
plastic pollution  China  Tristan da Cunha  South America  MARPOL Annex V  
Ecological and hydroclimate responses to strengthening of the Hadley circulation in South America during the Late Miocene cooling 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (20) : 9747-9752
作者:  Carrapa, Barbara;  Clementz, Mark;  Feng, Ran
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Late Miocene cooling  South America  Hadley circulation  stable isotopes  Andes  
Limiting global-mean temperature increase to 1.5-2 degrees C could reduce the incidence and spatial spread of dengue fever in Latin America 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2018, 115 (24) : 6243-6248
作者:  Colon-Gonzalez, Felipe J.;  Harris, Ian;  Osborn, Timothy J.;  Sao Bernardo, Christine Steiner;  Peres, Carlos A.;  Hunter, Paul R.;  Lake, Iain R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate change impacts  disease modeling  Latin America  
Global change and the distributional dynamics of migratory bird populations wintering in Central America 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (12)
作者:  La Sorte, Frank A.;  Fink, Daniel;  Blancher, Peter J.;  Rodewald, Amanda D.;  Ruiz-Gutierrez, Viviana;  Rosenberg, Kenneth V.;  Hochachka, Wesley M.;  Verburg, Peter H.;  Kelling, Steve
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Central America  climate change  eBird  land-use change  migratory birds  protected areas  
Seasonal associations with urban light pollution for nocturnally migrating bird populations 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (11)
作者:  La Sorte, Frank A.;  Fink, Daniel;  Buler, Jeffrey J.;  Farnsworth, Andrew;  Cabrera-Cruz, Sergio A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
artificial light  eBird  light pollution  Neotropical migrants  nocturnal migration  North America  seasonal bird migration  urbanization  
Tree range expansion in eastern North America fails to keep pace with climate warming at northern range limits 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (8)
作者:  Sittaro, Fabian;  Paquette, Alain;  Messier, Christian;  Nock, Charles A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  eastern North America  forest inventory plots  global warming  range shifts  temperate and boreal forests  tree migration  
Integrating mechanistic and empirical model projections to assess climate impacts on tree species distributions in northwestern North America 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (5)
作者:  Case, Michael;  Lawler, Joshua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  correlative  DGVM  niche model  northwestern North America  process-based  species distribution model  species range