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Enhanced Northern Hemisphere Correlation Skill of Subseasonal Predictions in the Strong Negative Phase of the Arctic Oscillation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (10)
作者:  Minami, Atsushi;  Takaya, Yuhei
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
AO  subseasonal predictability  eddy-zonal flow interaction  
GEOS-S2S Version 2: The GMAO High-Resolution Coupled Model and Assimilation System for Seasonal Prediction 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (5)
作者:  Molod, Andrea;  Hackert, Eric;  Vikhliaev, Yury;  Zhao, Bin;  Barahona, Donifan;  Vernieres, Guillaume;  Borovikov, Anna;  Kovach, Robin M.;  Marshak, Jelena;  Schubert, Siegfried;  Li, Zhao;  Lim, Young-Kwon;  Andrews, Lauren C.;  Cullather, Richard;  Koster, Randal;  Achuthavarier, Deepthi;  Carton, James;  Coy, Lawrence;  Friere, Julliana L. M.;  Longo, Karla M.;  Nakada, Kazumi;  Pawson, Steven
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Atmosphere-Ocean Modeling  Atmosphere-Ocean Data Assimilation  Seasonal and Subseasonal Prediction  
Reply to "Comments on 'What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?'" 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2020, 77 (2) : 787-793
作者:  Sun, Y. Qiang;  Zhang, Fuqing;  Magnusson, Linus;  Buizza, Roberto;  Chen, Jan-Huey;  Emanuel, Kerry
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Error analysis  Forecasting  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  Operational forecasting  Ensembles  Model errors  
Transgenerational Plasticity in Human-Altered Environments 期刊论文
TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION, 2020, 35 (2) : 115-124
作者:  Donelan, Sarah C.;  Hellmann, Jennifer K.;  Bell, Alison M.;  Luttbeg, Barney;  Orrock, John L.;  Sheriff, Michael J.;  Sih, Andrew
收藏  |  浏览/下载：13/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Complexity-based approach for El Nino magnitude forecasting before the spring predictability barrier 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (1) : 177-183
作者:  Meng, Jun;  Fan, Jingfang;  Ludescher, Josef;  Agarwal, Ankit;  Chen, Xiaosong;  Bunde, Armin;  Kurths, Juergen;  Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/05/13
ENSO  system complexity  entropy  spring barrier  forecasting  
Atmospheric Predictability of the Tropics, Middle Latitudes, and Polar Regions Explored through Global Storm-Resolving Simulations 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2020, 77 (1) : 257-276
作者:  Judt, Falko
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Dynamics  Waves  atmospheric  Numerical analysis  modeling  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  Tropical variability  
Evaluation of the skill of North-American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) Global Climate Models in predicting average and extreme precipitation and temperature over the continental USA 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7381-7396
作者:  Slater, Louise J.;  Villarini, Gabriele;  Bradley, Allen A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Seasonal forecasting  NMME  Flood  Drought  Multi-model ensemble  Model biases  
Evaluation of NMME temperature and precipitation bias and forecast skill for South Asia 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7363-7380
作者:  Cash, Benjamin A.;  Manganello, Julia V.;  Kinter, James L., III
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Monsoon  ENSO  Forecast skill  
Deterministic skill of ENSO predictions from the North American Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7215-7234
作者:  Barnston, Anthony G.;  39;Heureux, Michelle L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：3/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Atmospheric Predictability: Revisiting the Inherent Finite-Time Barrier 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (12) : 3883-3892
作者:  Leung, Tsz Yan;  Leutbecher, Martin;  Reich, Sebastian;  Shepherd, Theodore G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Atmosphere  Turbulence  Error analysis  Spectral analysis  models  distribution  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting