Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.04.027 |
Carbon overhead: The impact of the expansion in low-carbon electricity in China 2015-2040 | |
Yuan, Rong1,2; Behrens, Paul1,3; Tukker, Arnold1,4; Rodrigues, Joao F. D.1 | |
2018-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 119页码:97-104 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Netherlands; Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | China has embarked on a massive program of low-carbon electricity (LE) deployment, in order to reduce its current dependence on coal. The cumulative installed capacity of LE in 2015 was almost four times of that in 2002. Moreover, China has a target of 20% for non-fossil fuels in primary energy consumption by 2030. LE provides substantial carbon savings in the use phase, but LE infrastructure tends to require more materials than their fossil-fuel electricity counterpart. Here we estimate the carbon 'overhead' from infrastructure expansion during China's transition to LE. We report estimates of the learning curves of the carbon intensity of LE installation, calculated from regional historical data in the period 2002-2012. We combine this information with the predicted cumulative installed capacity from well-known scenarios from national and international bodies. We then project the trends of carbon impacts from LE investments up to 2040. Our results show that, under all scenarios and every year, the annual carbon impact of LE investments never exceeds 4% of China's total carbon emissions, and that the carbon impacts of the expansion in LE infrastructure show either a steady decline or a peak during 2030-2035 before declining further. |
英文关键词 | CO2 emissions Low-carbon electricity technology Investment |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000439671200010 |
WOS关键词 | LIFE-CYCLE ASSESSMENT ; GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT ; WIND POWER ; GENERATION TECHNOLOGIES ; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS ; EXPERIENCE CURVE ; NATURAL-GAS ; CO2 ; REDUCTION |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/16525 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Leiden Univ, Inst Environm Sci, CML, Einsteinweg 2, NL-2333 CC Leiden, Netherlands; 2.Tianjin Univ, Sch Management & Econ, Weijin 92, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China; 3.Leiden Univ, Leiden Univ Coll The Hague, Anna van Buerenpl 301, NL-2595 DG The Hague, Netherlands; 4.TNO, Netherlands Org Appl Sci Res, Anna van Buerenpl 1, NL-2595 DA The Hague, Netherlands |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yuan, Rong,Behrens, Paul,Tukker, Arnold,et al. Carbon overhead: The impact of the expansion in low-carbon electricity in China 2015-2040[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,119:97-104. |
APA | Yuan, Rong,Behrens, Paul,Tukker, Arnold,&Rodrigues, Joao F. D..(2018).Carbon overhead: The impact of the expansion in low-carbon electricity in China 2015-2040.ENERGY POLICY,119,97-104. |
MLA | Yuan, Rong,et al."Carbon overhead: The impact of the expansion in low-carbon electricity in China 2015-2040".ENERGY POLICY 119(2018):97-104. |
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