GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2018.04.009
Cross-impact analysis of Finnish electricity system with increased renewables: Long-run energy policy challenges in balancing supply and consumption
Panula-Ontto, Juha1; 39;Mahony, Tadhg2
2018-07-01
发表期刊ENERGY POLICY
ISSN0301-4215
EISSN1873-6777
出版年2018
卷号118页码:504-513
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Finland
英文摘要

Climate change and global economic pressures are strong drivers for energy economies to transition towards climate-neutrality, low-carbon economy and better energy and resource efficiencies. The response to these pressures, namely the increased use of renewable energy, creates a set of new challenges related to supply demand balance for energy policy and electricity system planning. This study analyses the emergent problems resulting from the renewable energy response. These complex aspects of change in the electricity system are analysed with a cross-impact model based on an expert-driven modeling process, consisting of workshops, panel evaluations and individual expert work. The model is then analysed using a novel computational cross-impact technique, EXIT. The objective of the study is to map the important direct drivers of change in the period 2017-2030 in electricity consumption and production in Finland, construct a cross-impact model from this basis, and discover the emergent and systemic dynamics of the modeled system by analysis of this model.


英文关键词Electricity system Cross-impact analysis Renewables Transition Low-carbon
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000435050000045
WOS关键词TECHNOLOGY ; SCENARIOS ; MODEL ; EVENTS ; KSIM
WOS类目Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
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文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18092
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Turku, Turku, Finland;
2.Tampere Univ Technol, Tampere, Finland;
3.Univ Tampere, Tampere, Finland;
4.Tampere Univ Appl Sci, Tampere, Finland;
5.Tech Res Ctr Finland, Espoo, Finland
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Panula-Ontto, Juha,39;Mahony, Tadhg. Cross-impact analysis of Finnish electricity system with increased renewables: Long-run energy policy challenges in balancing supply and consumption[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,118:504-513.
APA Panula-Ontto, Juha,&39;Mahony, Tadhg.(2018).Cross-impact analysis of Finnish electricity system with increased renewables: Long-run energy policy challenges in balancing supply and consumption.ENERGY POLICY,118,504-513.
MLA Panula-Ontto, Juha,et al."Cross-impact analysis of Finnish electricity system with increased renewables: Long-run energy policy challenges in balancing supply and consumption".ENERGY POLICY 118(2018):504-513.
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