Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.04.009 |
Cross-impact analysis of Finnish electricity system with increased renewables: Long-run energy policy challenges in balancing supply and consumption | |
Panula-Ontto, Juha1; 39;Mahony, Tadhg2 | |
2018-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 118页码:504-513 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Finland |
英文摘要 | Climate change and global economic pressures are strong drivers for energy economies to transition towards climate-neutrality, low-carbon economy and better energy and resource efficiencies. The response to these pressures, namely the increased use of renewable energy, creates a set of new challenges related to supply demand balance for energy policy and electricity system planning. This study analyses the emergent problems resulting from the renewable energy response. These complex aspects of change in the electricity system are analysed with a cross-impact model based on an expert-driven modeling process, consisting of workshops, panel evaluations and individual expert work. The model is then analysed using a novel computational cross-impact technique, EXIT. The objective of the study is to map the important direct drivers of change in the period 2017-2030 in electricity consumption and production in Finland, construct a cross-impact model from this basis, and discover the emergent and systemic dynamics of the modeled system by analysis of this model. |
英文关键词 | Electricity system Cross-impact analysis Renewables Transition Low-carbon |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000435050000045 |
WOS关键词 | TECHNOLOGY ; SCENARIOS ; MODEL ; EVENTS ; KSIM |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18092 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Turku, Turku, Finland; 2.Tampere Univ Technol, Tampere, Finland; 3.Univ Tampere, Tampere, Finland; 4.Tampere Univ Appl Sci, Tampere, Finland; 5.Tech Res Ctr Finland, Espoo, Finland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Panula-Ontto, Juha,39;Mahony, Tadhg. Cross-impact analysis of Finnish electricity system with increased renewables: Long-run energy policy challenges in balancing supply and consumption[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,118:504-513. |
APA | Panula-Ontto, Juha,&39;Mahony, Tadhg.(2018).Cross-impact analysis of Finnish electricity system with increased renewables: Long-run energy policy challenges in balancing supply and consumption.ENERGY POLICY,118,504-513. |
MLA | Panula-Ontto, Juha,et al."Cross-impact analysis of Finnish electricity system with increased renewables: Long-run energy policy challenges in balancing supply and consumption".ENERGY POLICY 118(2018):504-513. |
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