资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

This study uses both observations and numerical modeling experiments to investigate the lead-lag relationship and the associated physical mechanism of the western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone (WNPAC) with sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the northern tropical Atlantic (NTA). The results show that the WNPAC from late spring to the middle of autumn has a significant in-phase relationship with the NTA SST anomalies up to two seasons ahead. This relationship reaches a peak when the NTA SST leads by approximately 1-2months and is nearly independent of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation variability. Diagnosis based on observations and numerical experiments using the Community Atmospheric Model version 5.3 reveals that the NTA warming favors intensified local convection activity during the spring-autumn seasons, causing enhanced low-level convergence and upper-level divergence (i.e., ascending motion) over the NTA and opposite flow anomalies over the central tropical Pacific. The enhanced subsidence over the central tropical Pacific, in turn, triggers an anomalous low-level anticyclone over the western North Pacific. Moreover, the intensity of the anomalous local convection activity that is associated with the NTA SST is closely related to the seasonal migration of the Atlantic intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ). As the Atlantic ITCZ migrates northward, the NTA SST-induced local convection activity extends northward from a narrow band near the equator during early spring to nearly the entire NTA region during the middle of summer, leading to the strongest remote effect of the NTA SST anomalies on the WNPAC during late summer and early autumn.