Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2019GL082482 |
An Intercomparison of Verification Scores for Evaluating the Sea Ice Edge Position in Seasonal Forecasts | |
Palerme, Cyril; Mueller, Malte; Melsom, Arne | |
2019-05-16 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
![]() |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 46期号:9页码:4757-4763 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Norway |
英文摘要 | With the improving skill of sea ice forecasts, verification methods are becoming increasingly important to inform model developers and users. In this study, the Modified Hausdorff Distance (MHD), the Spatial Probability Score (SPS), and a variation of the SPS are compared in order to assess their performances for evaluating the ice edge position in the new European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts seasonal forecasts (SEAS5). On average, the SEAS5 forecasts outperform a climatological reference during about 3 weeks using the MHD, and during about 5 weeks using the SPS. Furthermore, our results show that the MHD is more sensitive than the SPS to the presence of isolated sea ice patches. Moreover, the variation of the SPS introduced here is not seasonally dependent (contrary to the original SPS) and can be interpreted as a distance error of the ice edge position, which is a potentially relevant information for end users. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000468869500023 |
WOS关键词 | HAUSDORFF DISTANCE ; SKILL |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/183259 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Norwegian Meteorol Inst, Oslo, Norway |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Palerme, Cyril,Mueller, Malte,Melsom, Arne. An Intercomparison of Verification Scores for Evaluating the Sea Ice Edge Position in Seasonal Forecasts[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,46(9):4757-4763. |
APA | Palerme, Cyril,Mueller, Malte,&Melsom, Arne.(2019).An Intercomparison of Verification Scores for Evaluating the Sea Ice Edge Position in Seasonal Forecasts.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,46(9),4757-4763. |
MLA | Palerme, Cyril,et al."An Intercomparison of Verification Scores for Evaluating the Sea Ice Edge Position in Seasonal Forecasts".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 46.9(2019):4757-4763. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论