Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.09.003 |
Implications of Japan's 2030 target for long-term low emission pathways | |
Oshiro, Ken1; Kainuma, Mikiko2,4; Masui, Toshihiko3,5 | |
2017-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 110 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Japan |
英文摘要 | This study assesses implications of the target reduction in GHG emissions by 2030 included in Japan's Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) for long-term low emission pathways toward 2050, as well as feasibility of the 2030 target itself using AIM/Enduse model. Scenario analysis by 2030 suggests that implementing the INDC could consolidate a transition from the baseline trajectory, which is mainly derived from improved energy efficiency and decarbonization of electricity. The 2030 target is still technically feasible even if nuclear power is constrained or totally phased-out by 2030, based on additional deployment of renewable energies. However, these pathways incur carbon price hikes of over 160 US$/t-CO2, and need effective policy supports. Over the long-term, pathways that meet both 2030 and 2050 targets also appear technically feasible, provisional upon additional efforts being made beyond the 2030 target. These pathways also require a huge and rapid transformation in the energy system post-2030, including large-scale deployment of variable renewable energies and carbon capture and storage, and improvement of energy efficiency and electrification. Early actions and policies before 2030, including RD & D in innovative technologies and development of the market would be needed for commercial realization of these options. |
英文关键词 | Intended Nationally Determined Contribution Paris Agreement Integrated assessment model Climate change mitigation Low-carbon energy |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000417660800058 |
WOS关键词 | PARIS AGREEMENT ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; REDUCTION ; MITIGATION ; MODEL |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18757 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Mizuho Informat & Res Inst Inc, Environm & Energy Div 1, Tokyo, Japan; 2.Inst Global Environm Strategies, Hayama, Japan; 3.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Ctr Social & Environm Syst Res, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; 4.2108-11 Kamiyamaguchi, Hayama, Kanagawa 2400115, Japan; 5.16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Oshiro, Ken,Kainuma, Mikiko,Masui, Toshihiko. Implications of Japan's 2030 target for long-term low emission pathways[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,110. |
APA | Oshiro, Ken,Kainuma, Mikiko,&Masui, Toshihiko.(2017).Implications of Japan's 2030 target for long-term low emission pathways.ENERGY POLICY,110. |
MLA | Oshiro, Ken,et al."Implications of Japan's 2030 target for long-term low emission pathways".ENERGY POLICY 110(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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