GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0299.1
Seasonal Sensitivity of the Northern Hemisphere Jet Streams to Arctic Temperatures on Subseasonal Time Scales
Barnes, Elizabeth A.1; Simpson, Isla R.2
2017-12-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
EISSN1520-0442
出版年2017
卷号30期号:24
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

Near-surface Arctic warming has been shown to impact the midlatitude jet streams through the use of carefully designed model simulations with and without Arctic sea ice loss. In this work, a Granger causality regression approach is taken to quantify the response of the zonal wind to variability of near-surface Arctic temperatures on subseasonal time scales across the CMIP5 models. Using this technique, a robust influence of regional Arctic warming on the North Atlantic and North Pacific jet stream positions, speeds, and zonal winds is demonstrated. However, Arctic temperatures only explain an additional 3%-5% of the variance of the winds after accounting for the variance associated with the persistence of the wind anomalies from previous weeks. In terms of the jet stream response, the North Pacific and North Atlantic jet streams consistently shift equatorward in response to Arctic warming but also strengthen, rather than weaken, during most months of the year. Furthermore, the sensitivity of the jet stream position and strength to Arctic warming is shown to be a strong function of season. Specifically, in both ocean basins, the jets shift farthest equatorward in the summer months. It is argued that this seasonal sensitivity is due to the Arctic-warming-induced wind anomalies remaining relatively fixed in latitude, while the climatological jet migrates in and out of the anomalies throughout the annual cycle. Based on these results, model differences in the climatological jet stream position are shown to lead to differences in the jet stream position's sensitivity to Arctic warming.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000423492500019
WOS关键词SEA-ICE LOSS ; GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL ; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ; ATLANTIC OSCILLATION ; MIDLATITUDE WEATHER ; PLANETARY-WAVES ; AMPLIFICATION ; IMPACT ; VARIABILITY ; PREDICTION
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20371
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Colorado State Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA;
2.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
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Barnes, Elizabeth A.,Simpson, Isla R.. Seasonal Sensitivity of the Northern Hemisphere Jet Streams to Arctic Temperatures on Subseasonal Time Scales[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2017,30(24).
APA Barnes, Elizabeth A.,&Simpson, Isla R..(2017).Seasonal Sensitivity of the Northern Hemisphere Jet Streams to Arctic Temperatures on Subseasonal Time Scales.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,30(24).
MLA Barnes, Elizabeth A.,et al."Seasonal Sensitivity of the Northern Hemisphere Jet Streams to Arctic Temperatures on Subseasonal Time Scales".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 30.24(2017).
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