Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/2017WR021470 |
On Lack of Robustness in Hydrological Model Development Due to Absence of Guidelines for Selecting Calibration and Evaluation Data: Demonstration for Data-Driven Models | |
Zheng, Feifei1; Maier, Holger R.1,2; Wu, Wenyan2,3; Dandy, Graeme C.2; Gupta, Hoshin V.4; Zhang, Tuqiao1 | |
2018-02-01 | |
发表期刊 | WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
![]() |
ISSN | 0043-1397 |
EISSN | 1944-7973 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 54期号:2页码:1013-1030 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China; Australia; USA |
英文摘要 | Hydrological models are used for a wide variety of engineering purposes, including streamflow forecasting and flood-risk estimation. To develop such models, it is common to allocate the available data to calibration and evaluation data subsets. Surprisingly, the issue of how this allocation can affect model evaluation performance has been largely ignored in the research literature. This paper discusses the evaluation performance bias that can arise from how available data are allocated to calibration and evaluation subsets. As a first step to assessing this issue in a statistically rigorous fashion, we present a comprehensive investigation of the influence of data allocation on the development of data-driven artificial neural network (ANN) models of streamflow. Four well-known formal data splitting methods are applied to 754 catchments from Australia and the U.S. to develop 902,483 ANN models. Results clearly show that the choice of the method used for data allocation has a significant impact on model performance, particularly for runoff data that are more highly skewed, highlighting the importance of considering the impact of data splitting when developing hydrological models. The statistical behavior of the data splitting methods investigated is discussed and guidance is offered on the selection of the most appropriate data splitting methods to achieve representative evaluation performance for streamflow data with different statistical properties. Although our results are obtained for data-driven models, they highlight the fact that this issue is likely to have a significant impact on all types of hydrological models, especially conceptual rainfall-runoff models. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000428474500020 |
WOS关键词 | RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELS ; ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK ; AUTOMATIC CALIBRATION ; PARAMETER-ESTIMATION ; VARIABLE SELECTION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; NON-STATIONARITY ; WATER-QUALITY ; VALIDATION ; INFORMATION |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/21767 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Zhejiang Univ, Coll Civil Engn & Architecture, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Adelaide, Sch Civil Environm & Min Engn, Adelaide, SA, Australia; 3.Univ Melbourne, Melbourne Sch Engn, Dept Infrastruct Engn, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 4.Univ Arizona, Dept Hydrol & Atmospher Sci, Tucson, AZ USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zheng, Feifei,Maier, Holger R.,Wu, Wenyan,et al. On Lack of Robustness in Hydrological Model Development Due to Absence of Guidelines for Selecting Calibration and Evaluation Data: Demonstration for Data-Driven Models[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2018,54(2):1013-1030. |
APA | Zheng, Feifei,Maier, Holger R.,Wu, Wenyan,Dandy, Graeme C.,Gupta, Hoshin V.,&Zhang, Tuqiao.(2018).On Lack of Robustness in Hydrological Model Development Due to Absence of Guidelines for Selecting Calibration and Evaluation Data: Demonstration for Data-Driven Models.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,54(2),1013-1030. |
MLA | Zheng, Feifei,et al."On Lack of Robustness in Hydrological Model Development Due to Absence of Guidelines for Selecting Calibration and Evaluation Data: Demonstration for Data-Driven Models".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 54.2(2018):1013-1030. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论