GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1002/2018GL077106
Unprecedented 2015/2016 Indo-Pacific Heat Transfer Speeds Up Tropical Pacific Heat Recharge
Mayer, Michael1,2; Balmaseda, Magdalena Alonso2; Haimberger, Leopold1
2018-04-16
发表期刊GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN0094-8276
EISSN1944-8007
出版年2018
卷号45期号:7页码:3274-3284
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Austria; England
英文摘要

El Nino events are characterized by anomalously warm tropical Pacific surface waters and concurrent ocean heat discharge, a precursor of subsequent cold La Nina conditions. Here we show that El Nino 2015/2016 departed from this norm: despite extreme peak surface temperatures, tropical Pacific (30 degrees N-30 degrees S) upper ocean heat content increased by 9.6 +/- 1.7 ZJ (1 ZJ = 10(21) J), in stark contrast to the previous strong El Nino in 1997/1998 (-11.5 +/- 2.9 ZJ). Unprecedented reduction of Indonesian Throughflow volume and heat transport played a key role in the anomalous 2015/2016 event. We argue that this anomaly is linked with the previously documented intensified warming and associated rising sea levels in the Indian Ocean during the last decade. Additionally, increased absorption of solar radiation acted to dampen Pacific ocean heat content discharge. These results explain the weak and short-lived La Nina conditions in 2016/2017 and indicate the need for realistic representation of Indo-Pacific energy transfers for skillful seasonal-to-decadal predictions.


Plain Language Summary El Nino events are characterized by anomalously warm surface waters in the equatorial Pacific and concurrent heat loss of the upper ocean, a precursor for the swing toward anomalously cool conditions (La Nina). Here we show that El Nino 2015/2016 departed from this norm: despite extreme peak surface temperatures, the tropical Pacific upper ocean gained heat, which is in stark contrast to previous El Ninos like the strong event in 1997/1998. We find that unprecedented reduction of oceanic transports by the Indonesian Throughflow played a key role in the anomalous 2015/2016 event. Transports through this passage usually export warm water from the Pacific to the Indian Ocean, but their reduction was strong enough to outweigh Pacific surface heat loss typical for El Nino. Enhanced warming and sea level rise in the Indian Ocean over the past decade reduced the sea level difference between western Pacific and Indian Oceans, preparing the ground for the extreme throughflow reduction in 2015/2016. These results explain the weak and short-lived La Nina conditions in 2016/2017 and demonstrate how decadal changes in the Indian Ocean influenced the 2015/2016 El Nino. We conclude that realistic representation of Indo-Pacific energy transfers is needed in numerical models for skillful seasonal-to-decadal predictions.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000435743400046
WOS关键词INDIAN-OCEAN DIPOLE ; EXTREME EL-NINO ; INDONESIAN THROUGHFLOW ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; EQUATORIAL PACIFIC ; ATMOSPHERE RADIATION ; CLIMATE VARIABILITY ; ENERGY TRANSPORTS ; WARMING HIATUS ; ENSO
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Geology
引用统计
被引频次:46[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/25583
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Vienna, Dept Meteorol & Geophys, Vienna, Austria;
2.European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, Berks, England
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Mayer, Michael,Balmaseda, Magdalena Alonso,Haimberger, Leopold. Unprecedented 2015/2016 Indo-Pacific Heat Transfer Speeds Up Tropical Pacific Heat Recharge[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,45(7):3274-3284.
APA Mayer, Michael,Balmaseda, Magdalena Alonso,&Haimberger, Leopold.(2018).Unprecedented 2015/2016 Indo-Pacific Heat Transfer Speeds Up Tropical Pacific Heat Recharge.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,45(7),3274-3284.
MLA Mayer, Michael,et al."Unprecedented 2015/2016 Indo-Pacific Heat Transfer Speeds Up Tropical Pacific Heat Recharge".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 45.7(2018):3274-3284.
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