GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1002/2017GL074175
Assessing the climate-scale variability of atmospheric rivers affecting western North America
Gershunov, Alexander1; Shulgina, Tamara1; Ralph, F. Martin1; Lavers, David A.2; Rutz, Jonathan J.3
2017-08-16
发表期刊GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN0094-8276
EISSN1944-8007
出版年2017
卷号44期号:15
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA; England
英文摘要

A new method for automatic detection of atmospheric rivers (ARs) is developed and applied to an atmospheric reanalysis, yielding an extensive catalog of ARs land-falling along the west coast of North America during 1948-2017. This catalog provides a large array of variables that can be used to examine AR cases and their climate-scale variability in exceptional detail. The new record of AR activity, as presented, validated and examined here, provides a perspective on the seasonal cycle and the interannual-interdecadal variability of AR activity affecting the hydroclimate of western North America. Importantly, AR intensity does not exactly follow the climatological pattern of AR frequency. Strong links to hydroclimate are demonstrated using a high-resolution precipitation data set. We describe the seasonal progression of AR activity and diagnose linkages with climate variability expressed in Pacific sea surface temperatures, revealing links to Pacific decadal variability, recent regional anomalies, as well as a generally rising trend in land-falling AR activity. The latter trend is consistent with a long-term increase in vapor transport from the warming North Pacific onto the North American continent. The new catalog provides unprecedented opportunities to study the climate-scale behavior and predictability of ARs affecting western North America.


Plain Language Summary We have created a new seven-decade-long catalog of atmospheric river behavior land-falling upon the west coast of North America. The catalog has been validated against independent precipitation observations to ensure that the atmospheric rivers represented therein are associated with extreme orographic precipitation. Our results clearly delineate a prominent role for atmospheric rivers in California's hydroclimate. Atmospheric river variability has been particularly important in the recent California drought as well as its most recent lapse. We also detect a long-term increasing trend in water vapor transport impinging on the west coast of North America associated with atmospheric rivers and overall wintertime water vapor transport associated with climate warming. Our results, moreover, suggest that potential predictability of seasonal behavior of atmospheric rivers may hinge on sources of climatic variability somewhat different from that of total water vapor transport.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000408379000039
WOS关键词UNITED-STATES ; EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; REANALYSIS PROJECT ; PACIFIC ; IMPACTS ; COAST ; CALIFORNIA ; SATELLITE ; ALGORITHM ; FLUXES
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Geology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/26795
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, Ctr Western Weather & Water Extremes CW3E, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA;
2.European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts ECMWF, Reading, Berks, England;
3.Natl Weather Serv, Sci & Technol Infus Div, Western Reg Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT USA
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GB/T 7714
Gershunov, Alexander,Shulgina, Tamara,Ralph, F. Martin,et al. Assessing the climate-scale variability of atmospheric rivers affecting western North America[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2017,44(15).
APA Gershunov, Alexander,Shulgina, Tamara,Ralph, F. Martin,Lavers, David A.,&Rutz, Jonathan J..(2017).Assessing the climate-scale variability of atmospheric rivers affecting western North America.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,44(15).
MLA Gershunov, Alexander,et al."Assessing the climate-scale variability of atmospheric rivers affecting western North America".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 44.15(2017).
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