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DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130 |
Response of precipitation extremes to warming: what have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and what remains to be learned? | |
Muller, Caroline1; Takayabu, Yukari2 | |
2020-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 15期号:3 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | France; Japan |
英文摘要 | This paper reviews recent important advances in our understanding of the response of precipitation extremes to warming from theory and from idealized cloud-resolving simulations. A theoretical scaling for precipitation extremes has been proposed and refined in the past decades, allowing to address separately the contributions from the thermodynamics, the dynamics and the microphysics. Theoretical constraints, as well as remaining uncertainties, associated with each of these three contributions to precipitation extremes, are discussed. Notably, although to leading order precipitation extremes seem to follow the thermodynamic theoretical expectation in idealized simulations, considerable uncertainty remains regarding the response of the dynamics and of the microphysics to warming, and considerable departure from this theoretical expectation is found in observations and in more realistic simulations. We also emphasize key outstanding questions, in particular the response of mesoscale convective organization to warming. Observations suggest that extreme rainfall often comes from an organized system in very moist environments. Improved understanding of the physical processes behind convective organization is needed in order to achieve accurate extreme rainfall prediction in our current, and in a warming climate. |
英文关键词 | precipitation extremes tropical convection radiative-convective equilibrium |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000525621000001 |
WOS关键词 | FUTURE CHANGES ; TROPICAL PRECIPITATION ; WATER-VAPOR ; CLIMATE ; INCREASES ; RAINFALL ; TEMPERATURE ; CONSTRAINT ; FREQUENCY ; VELOCITY |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/279247 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Ecole Normale Super, Lab Meteorol Dynam, CNRS, Inst Pierre Simon Lapl, Paris, France; 2.Univ Tokyo, Chiba, Japan |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Muller, Caroline,Takayabu, Yukari. Response of precipitation extremes to warming: what have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and what remains to be learned?[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2020,15(3). |
APA | Muller, Caroline,&Takayabu, Yukari.(2020).Response of precipitation extremes to warming: what have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and what remains to be learned?.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,15(3). |
MLA | Muller, Caroline,et al."Response of precipitation extremes to warming: what have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and what remains to be learned?".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 15.3(2020). |
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