资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

An accident occurred when an aircraft landed at Narita International Airport, Japan, on 20 June 2012. The aircraft encountered rapid changes of winds together with strong turbulence, although the weather was fair. In the present study, a two-domain nested regional weather prediction models are used. The results in the outer domain show that southwesterly winds associated with a synoptic extratropical cyclone were locally accelerated to the southwest of the airport resulting in strong vertical shear. The simulation in the inner domain reproduces horizontal convective rolls, which are similar to those observed by a Doppler lidar at the airport. The wind velocity component parallel to the runway had a spatial variation of about 10 m s -1. The present approach using a large eddy simulation is useful for clarifying environments and features of horizontal convective rolls and forecasting low-level wind shear associated with them, which can be a significant risk for aircraft.

Plain Language Summary Synoptic/mesoscale fronts and downbursts (strong downdrafts from a thunderstorm and diverging winds after they hit the ground) are known to be serious threats to airplanes during takeoff and landing. However, it is less known that there is another type of danger under fair weather conditions. An aircraft landing at Narita International Airport, Japan, in the afternoon of 20 June 2012 encountered rapid changes of wind and turbulence and made a hard landing, resulting in several injuries and damage to the fuselage. A Doppler lidar, a remote sensing device for monitoring low-level winds at the airport observed alternating regions of strong and weak winds aligned southwest-northeast, perpendicular to the runway. In order to clarify the detailed structure and mechanism of these disturbances, numerical simulations using a fine-resolution (horizontal resolution: 100 m) nested in a coarse resolution (horizontal resolution: 1 km) are made. The simulations show that horizontal convective rolls, which occur in convective boundary layers with strong vertical shear (vertical gradient of horizontal wind speed) were prevailing. These rolls are associated with the rapid changes in wind speed and turbulence similar to those observed by the Doppler lidar and flight recorder. The present study demonstrates that the large eddy simulation is useful for clarifying the structure and mechanisms of horizontal convective rolls, which caused the aircraft accident, and also for forecasting them.