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DOI | 10.1002/2016GL072342 |
Drivers of Arctic Ocean warming in CMIP5 models | |
Burgard, Clara; Notz, Dirk | |
2017-05-16 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 44期号:9 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Germany |
英文摘要 | We investigate changes in the Arctic Ocean energy budget simulated by 26 general circulation models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 framework. Our goal is to understand whether the Arctic Ocean warming between 1961 and 2099 is primarily driven by changes in the net atmospheric surface flux or by changes in the meridional oceanic heat flux. We find that the simulated Arctic Ocean warming is driven by positive anomalies in the net atmospheric surface flux in 11 models, by positive anomalies in the meridional oceanic heat flux in 11 models, and by positive anomalies in both energy fluxes in four models. The different behaviors are mainly characterized by the different changes in meridional oceanic heat flux that lead to different changes in the turbulent heat loss to the atmosphere. The multimodel ensemble mean is hence not representative of a consensus across the models in Arctic climate projections. |
英文关键词 | Arctic energy CMIP5 ocean sea ice |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000402143700036 |
WOS关键词 | SEA-ICE ; CLIMATE ; AMPLIFICATION ; SYSTEM |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/28236 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Max Planck Inst Meteorol, Hamburg, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Burgard, Clara,Notz, Dirk. Drivers of Arctic Ocean warming in CMIP5 models[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2017,44(9). |
APA | Burgard, Clara,&Notz, Dirk.(2017).Drivers of Arctic Ocean warming in CMIP5 models.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,44(9). |
MLA | Burgard, Clara,et al."Drivers of Arctic Ocean warming in CMIP5 models".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 44.9(2017). |
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