Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aafa55 |
Rice production and climate change in Northeast China: evidence of adaptation through land use shifts | |
Hu, Yanan1,2; Fan, Lingling1; Liu, Zhenhuan3; Yu, Qiangyi1; Liang, Shefang1; Chen, Shi1; You, Liangzhi1,4; Wu, Wenbin1; Yang, Peng1 | |
2019-02-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
![]() |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 14期号:2 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China; USA |
英文摘要 | Climate change continues to have a great impact on rice production in China, especially in Northeast China (NEC). Historical climate observations from the China Meteorological Administration and statistical agricultural records at the county level were utilized to evaluate the spatial and temporal effects of both climatic and socioeconomic factors on rice production between 1980 and 2010 in NEC by using a linear regression model. The results showed that a 1% increase in the rice accumulated temperature (RAT) significantly increases rice production by approximately 0.728%. Rising RAT over the past three decades increased rice production by 4.44% (equal to a relative contribution of 0.87% to production growth) in NEC, while the majority of rice production growth (79.6%) resulted from increased agricultural inputs. Furthermore, rice production has increased significantly since 2000, and its geographic centroid shifted over 320 km northeastward during the past 30 years. Historical statistical and simulated rice production data for each county were used to quantify the spatial relocation of rice production due to single climatic factors. During 1980-2010, temperature had a significant and coherent influence on moving rice production. The impact of growing season precipitation was not significant, while sunshine had a significant but less spatially coherent influence. Our findings highlight the response of the rice production system to external driving factors, both climate and socioeconomics, to target further research and provide important insights into how a rice cropping system is likely to adapt in a mid-high-latitude region in the future. |
英文关键词 | global warming rice production rice relocation production function Northeast China |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000458135300004 |
WOS关键词 | MAIZE PRODUCTION ; CROPPING SYSTEM ; 3 PROVINCES ; TEMPERATURE ; RESOURCES ; YIELD ; AREA ; AGRICULTURE ; BENEFITS ; IMPACTS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/32103 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Key Lab Agr Remote Sensing AGRIRS, Minist Agr & Rural Affairs, Inst Agr Resources & Reg Planning, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China; 2.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Agr Informat Inst, Key Lab Agri Informat Serv Technol, Minist Agr & Rural Affairs, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China; 3.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Geog & Planning, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, Peoples R China; 4.Int Food Policy Res Inst, Washington, DC 20005 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hu, Yanan,Fan, Lingling,Liu, Zhenhuan,et al. Rice production and climate change in Northeast China: evidence of adaptation through land use shifts[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,14(2). |
APA | Hu, Yanan.,Fan, Lingling.,Liu, Zhenhuan.,Yu, Qiangyi.,Liang, Shefang.,...&Yang, Peng.(2019).Rice production and climate change in Northeast China: evidence of adaptation through land use shifts.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,14(2). |
MLA | Hu, Yanan,et al."Rice production and climate change in Northeast China: evidence of adaptation through land use shifts".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 14.2(2019). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论