GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/aafa55
Rice production and climate change in Northeast China: evidence of adaptation through land use shifts
Hu, Yanan1,2; Fan, Lingling1; Liu, Zhenhuan3; Yu, Qiangyi1; Liang, Shefang1; Chen, Shi1; You, Liangzhi1,4; Wu, Wenbin1; Yang, Peng1
2019-02-01
发表期刊ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN1748-9326
出版年2019
卷号14期号:2
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China; USA
英文摘要

Climate change continues to have a great impact on rice production in China, especially in Northeast China (NEC). Historical climate observations from the China Meteorological Administration and statistical agricultural records at the county level were utilized to evaluate the spatial and temporal effects of both climatic and socioeconomic factors on rice production between 1980 and 2010 in NEC by using a linear regression model. The results showed that a 1% increase in the rice accumulated temperature (RAT) significantly increases rice production by approximately 0.728%. Rising RAT over the past three decades increased rice production by 4.44% (equal to a relative contribution of 0.87% to production growth) in NEC, while the majority of rice production growth (79.6%) resulted from increased agricultural inputs. Furthermore, rice production has increased significantly since 2000, and its geographic centroid shifted over 320 km northeastward during the past 30 years. Historical statistical and simulated rice production data for each county were used to quantify the spatial relocation of rice production due to single climatic factors. During 1980-2010, temperature had a significant and coherent influence on moving rice production. The impact of growing season precipitation was not significant, while sunshine had a significant but less spatially coherent influence. Our findings highlight the response of the rice production system to external driving factors, both climate and socioeconomics, to target further research and provide important insights into how a rice cropping system is likely to adapt in a mid-high-latitude region in the future.


英文关键词global warming rice production rice relocation production function Northeast China
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000458135300004
WOS关键词MAIZE PRODUCTION ; CROPPING SYSTEM ; 3 PROVINCES ; TEMPERATURE ; RESOURCES ; YIELD ; AREA ; AGRICULTURE ; BENEFITS ; IMPACTS
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/32103
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Key Lab Agr Remote Sensing AGRIRS, Minist Agr & Rural Affairs, Inst Agr Resources & Reg Planning, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China;
2.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Agr Informat Inst, Key Lab Agri Informat Serv Technol, Minist Agr & Rural Affairs, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China;
3.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Geog & Planning, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, Peoples R China;
4.Int Food Policy Res Inst, Washington, DC 20005 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Hu, Yanan,Fan, Lingling,Liu, Zhenhuan,et al. Rice production and climate change in Northeast China: evidence of adaptation through land use shifts[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,14(2).
APA Hu, Yanan.,Fan, Lingling.,Liu, Zhenhuan.,Yu, Qiangyi.,Liang, Shefang.,...&Yang, Peng.(2019).Rice production and climate change in Northeast China: evidence of adaptation through land use shifts.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,14(2).
MLA Hu, Yanan,et al."Rice production and climate change in Northeast China: evidence of adaptation through land use shifts".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 14.2(2019).
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