GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1002/2017JD026459
Case Studies of Low-Visibility Forecasting in Falling Snow With WRF Model
Huang, Haibo1; Zhang, Guangxing2
2017-12-16
发表期刊JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
ISSN2169-897X
EISSN2169-8996
出版年2017
卷号122期号:23
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
英文摘要

Accurate low-visibility forecasts in falling snow are critical to the safety and efficiency of air traffic. The Weather and Research Forecast (WRF) model successfully captured two unusual snowstorms occurred in Urumqi. On this basis, the quality of 15 parameterizations for predicting visibility in snow is evaluated, using both observations and forecasts of the meteorological variables from WRF model. The parameterizations are mainly based on the relations between the extinction efficient () or visibility (Vis) and the snowfall rate (S). Comprehensive evaluations show that most of these parameterizations (13 of 15) are skillful as well as having the ability to predict low visibilities to some extent. Among them, the parameterization performs the best, followed by the approach of Stoelinga and Warner. It is also found that the visibility forecasts based on the observations always have considerably higher quality than the visibility forecasts from WRF model. The results suggest that more than one parameterization is promising if the WRF model is able to provide accurate predictions of the relevant meteorological variables. Furthermore, the forecast accuracy of low visibilities strongly depends on the accurate predictions of snowfall rate of greater than or equal to 1.0mm h(-1).


Plain Language Summary In previous studies, visibility parameterizations as a function of snowfall rate or hydrometer mass concentration have been used in various operating systems. However, the knowledge of how well those parameterizations perform in predicting low visibilities based on WRF model is still lacking, so the topic is something worthy of exploring.


英文关键词low visibility forecasting WRF model parameterization snowfall rate
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000419396500025
WOS关键词ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM ; LAND-SURFACE MODEL ; SOLID PRECIPITATION ; WEATHER PREDICTION ; DATA ASSIMILATION ; WINTER OLYMPICS ; COMPLEX TERRAIN ; PART I ; FOG ; CONVECTION
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/33615
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Xinjiang Air Traff Management Bur, Meteorol Ctr, Urumqi, Peoples R China;
2.China Meteorol Adm, Inst Desert Meteorol, Urumqi, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Huang, Haibo,Zhang, Guangxing. Case Studies of Low-Visibility Forecasting in Falling Snow With WRF Model[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,2017,122(23).
APA Huang, Haibo,&Zhang, Guangxing.(2017).Case Studies of Low-Visibility Forecasting in Falling Snow With WRF Model.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,122(23).
MLA Huang, Haibo,et al."Case Studies of Low-Visibility Forecasting in Falling Snow With WRF Model".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES 122.23(2017).
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