Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/NCLIMATE3393 |
New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue | |
Benestad, Rasmus1; Sillmann, Jana2; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda3; Guttorp, Peter3,4; Mesquita, Michel D. S.5; Tye, Mari R.6; Uotila, Petteri7; Maule, Cathrine Fox8; Thejll, Peter9; Drews, Martin10; Parding, Kajsa M.11 | |
2017-10-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 7期号:10 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Norway; USA; Finland; Denmark |
英文摘要 | Climate simulation data comprise a range of different phenomena with complex and interacting processes. Yet our understanding of the climate is incomplete despite the huge volumes of data, of which only a small fraction has been explored, and many questions remain, particularly those on the character and origin of uncertainties associated with model simulations and how further modelling efforts can improve understanding. Here, we question whether climate model information could be used more effectively and how so-called 'ensembles of opportunity' should be interpreted. Statisticians can contribute substantially to designing 'smarter' ensemble experiments, improving the distillation of information from ensembles, and helping interpret the relative merits of additional simulations. Future progress may be enhanced by increasing collaborations with statisticians. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000412007700014 |
WOS关键词 | REGIONAL CLIMATE-CHANGE ; MULTIMODEL ENSEMBLE ; DECISION-MAKING ; UNCERTAINTY ; PROJECTIONS ; PREDICTION ; CORDEX ; CMIP5 ; SIMULATIONS ; INFORMATION |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/34500 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Norwegian Meteorol Inst, Res & Dev, POB 43 Blindern, N-0313 Oslo, Norway; 2.Ctr Int Climate Res Oslo, Pb 1129 Blindern, N-0318 Oslo, Norway; 3.Norwegian Comp Ctr, POB 114 Blindern, N-0314 Oslo, Norway; 4.Univ Washington, Stat, Seattle, WA 98195 USA; 5.Bjerknes Ctr Climate Res, Uni Res Climate, Jahnebakken 5, N-5007 Bergen, Norway; 6.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Capac Ctr Climate & Weather Extremes, Mesoscale & Microscale Meteorol Lab, POB 1212, Boulder, CO 80307 USA; 7.Finnish Meteorol Inst Climate Res, POB 503, Helsinki 00101, Finland; 8.Stat Denmark, Res Serv, Sejroegade 11, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark; 9.Danish Meteorol Inst, Lyngbyvej 100, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark; 10.Tech Univ Denmark, Dept Management Engn, Syst Anal, Bldg 426, DK-2800 Lyngby, Denmark; 11.Norwegian Meteorol Inst, Henrik Mohns Plass 1, Oslo, Norway |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Benestad, Rasmus,Sillmann, Jana,Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda,et al. New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2017,7(10). |
APA | Benestad, Rasmus.,Sillmann, Jana.,Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda.,Guttorp, Peter.,Mesquita, Michel D. S..,...&Parding, Kajsa M..(2017).New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,7(10). |
MLA | Benestad, Rasmus,et al."New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 7.10(2017). |
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