GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1007/s00382-017-3731-9
Multi-site precipitation downscaling using a stochastic weather generator
Chen, Jie; Chen, Hua; Guo, Shenglian
2018-03-01
发表期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2018
卷号50页码:1975-1992
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
英文摘要

Statistical downscaling is an efficient way to solve the spatiotemporal mismatch between climate model outputs and the data requirements of hydrological models. However, the most commonly-used downscaling method only produces climate change scenarios for a specific site or watershed average, which is unable to drive distributed hydrological models to study the spatial variability of climate change impacts. By coupling a single-site downscaling method and a multi-site weather generator, this study proposes a multi-site downscaling approach for hydrological climate change impact studies. Multi-site downscaling is done in two stages. The first stage involves spatially downscaling climate model-simulated monthly precipitation from grid scale to a specific site using a quantile mapping method, and the second stage involves the temporal disaggregating of monthly precipitation to daily values by adjusting the parameters of a multi-site weather generator. The inter-station correlation is specifically considered using a distribution-free approach along with an iterative algorithm. The performance of the downscaling approach is illustrated using a 10-station watershed as an example. The precipitation time series derived from the National Centers for Environment Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis dataset is used as the climate model simulation. The precipitation time series of each station is divided into 30 odd years for calibration and 29 even years for validation. Several metrics, including the frequencies of wet and dry spells and statistics of the daily, monthly and annual precipitation are used as criteria to evaluate the multi-site downscaling approach. The results show that the frequencies of wet and dry spells are well reproduced for all stations. In addition, the multi-site downscaling approach performs well with respect to reproducing precipitation statistics, especially at monthly and annual timescales. The remaining biases mainly result from the non-stationarity of NCEP precipitation. Overall, the proposed approach is efficient for generating multi-site climate change scenarios that can be used to investigate the spatial variability of climate change impacts on hydrology.


英文关键词Statistical downscaling Weather generator Inter-station correlation Climate change impacts
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000426707100028
WOS关键词REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL ; BIAS CORRECTION METHODS ; CHANGE IMPACT ; LOESS PLATEAU ; NORTH-AMERICA ; LOW-FREQUENCY ; SOIL-EROSION ; RAINFALL ; TEMPERATURE ; VARIABILITY
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
被引频次:49[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/35247
专题气候变化
作者单位Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, 299 Bayi Rd, Wuhan 430072, Hubei, Peoples R China
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GB/T 7714
Chen, Jie,Chen, Hua,Guo, Shenglian. Multi-site precipitation downscaling using a stochastic weather generator[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2018,50:1975-1992.
APA Chen, Jie,Chen, Hua,&Guo, Shenglian.(2018).Multi-site precipitation downscaling using a stochastic weather generator.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,50,1975-1992.
MLA Chen, Jie,et al."Multi-site precipitation downscaling using a stochastic weather generator".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 50(2018):1975-1992.
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