Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/joc.5715 |
Trends in return levels of 24-hr precipitation extremes during the typhoon season in Taiwan | |
Chu, Pao-Shin1; Zhang, Hanpei1; Chang, Hui-Ling2; Chen, Tsui-Ling2; Tofte, Kristine1 | |
2018-11-30 | |
发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY |
ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 38期号:14页码:5107-5124 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Taiwan |
英文摘要 | This study is to investigate changes in maximum 24-hr precipitation for 20 stations during the typhoon season (July-October) and how the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) may modulate precipitation extremes in Taiwan. Based on the non-parametric Mann-Kendall method and Sens's test, 15 out of 20 stations (three fourth) exhibited an upward trend from 1958 to 2013. Results of the field significance test suggest that the significant increasing trend is not caused by random variability. The method of the non-stationary generalized extreme value distribution (NGEV) is then applied to determine temporal changes in return levels. Results show that a large majority of stations are marked by an increasing trend in the three chosen return levels (2, 20, and 100 years) over the last 56 years. Therefore, more intense typhoon producing seasonal maximum 24-hr precipitation has been observed in Taiwan. The waiting time for an extreme event to occur has shortened considerably in recent years. For stations located in western/central Taiwan, an El Nino (La Nina) event favours low (high) precipitation extremes. It is the opposite for stations in northern and eastern Taiwan. Thus, an east-west regional difference in precipitation extremes across Taiwan is noted. A NGEV model based on both time and ENSO as covariates is also applied. Inter-annual variations influenced by ENSO are more dominant than long-term trend in return levels for most stations in western/central Taiwan. |
英文关键词 | NGEV return levels precipitation extremes Taiwan |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000452430000005 |
WOS关键词 | HAWAIIAN-ISLANDS ; RAIN EVENTS ; CLIMATE ; STATISTICS ; ENSO |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36568 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Hawaii Manoa, Sch Ocean & Earth Sci & Technol, Dept Atmospher Sci, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA; 2.Cent Weather Bur, Res & Dev Ctr, Taipei, Taiwan |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chu, Pao-Shin,Zhang, Hanpei,Chang, Hui-Ling,et al. Trends in return levels of 24-hr precipitation extremes during the typhoon season in Taiwan[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2018,38(14):5107-5124. |
APA | Chu, Pao-Shin,Zhang, Hanpei,Chang, Hui-Ling,Chen, Tsui-Ling,&Tofte, Kristine.(2018).Trends in return levels of 24-hr precipitation extremes during the typhoon season in Taiwan.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,38(14),5107-5124. |
MLA | Chu, Pao-Shin,et al."Trends in return levels of 24-hr precipitation extremes during the typhoon season in Taiwan".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 38.14(2018):5107-5124. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论