Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.7249/RR991 |
报告编号 | RR-991-imfo |
The Future of Mobility: Scenarios for China in 2030 | |
Liisa Ecola; Johanna Zmud; Kun Gu; Peter Phleps; Irene Feige | |
2015 | |
出版年 | 2015 |
页数 | 118 |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | 美国 |
出版者 | RAND Corporation |
领域 | 资源环境 |
英文摘要 | What might the future of mobility be in China in 2030? Mobility is defined as the ability to travel from one location to another, regardless of mode or purpose. RAND researchers, working with the Institute for Mobility Research, used a six-step process to develop two scenarios that address this question. The six steps are (1) select influencing areas (domains that affect mobility directly: demographics, economics, energy, and transportation supply and constraints); (2) elicit projections on descriptors (via expert workshops in Washington, D.C., and Beijing); (3) integrate these into scenario frameworks (using two analysis methods and a computer-based tool); (4) produce scenario narratives (based on the clusters produced by the tool); (5) draw qualitative consequences for future mobility; and (6) create a wild-card scenario (by looking at events that might disrupt trends). |
英文关键词 | Economic Development China Environmental Quality Surface Traffic Models Exploratory Modeling Transportation Planning Students |
URL | 查看原文 |
来源平台 | Rand Corporation |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 科技报告 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4259 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liisa Ecola,Johanna Zmud,Kun Gu,et al. The Future of Mobility: Scenarios for China in 2030:RAND Corporation,2015. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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