The Future of Mobility: Scenarios for China in 2030

doi:10.7249/RR991

GSTDTAP > 资源环境科学

DOI	10.7249/RR991
报告编号	RR-991-imfo
	The Future of Mobility: Scenarios for China in 2030
	Liisa Ecola; Johanna Zmud; Kun Gu; Peter Phleps; Irene Feige
	2015
出版年	2015
页数	118
语种	英语
国家	美国
出版者	RAND Corporation
领域	资源环境
英文摘要	What might the future of mobility be in China in 2030? Mobility is defined as the ability to travel from one location to another, regardless of mode or purpose. RAND researchers, working with the Institute for Mobility Research, used a six-step process to develop two scenarios that address this question. The six steps are (1) select influencing areas (domains that affect mobility directly: demographics, economics, energy, and transportation supply and constraints); (2) elicit projections on descriptors (via expert workshops in Washington, D.C., and Beijing); (3) integrate these into scenario frameworks (using two analysis methods and a computer-based tool); (4) produce scenario narratives (based on the clusters produced by the tool); (5) draw qualitative consequences for future mobility; and (6) create a wild-card scenario (by looking at events that might disrupt trends).
英文关键词	Economic Development China Environmental Quality Surface Traffic Models Exploratory Modeling Transportation Planning Students
URL	查看原文
来源平台	Rand Corporation
引用统计
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4259
专题	资源环境科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liisa Ecola,Johanna Zmud,Kun Gu,et al. The Future of Mobility: Scenarios for China in 2030:RAND Corporation,2015.