The U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996&ndash;2017

doi:10.7249/RR392

GSTDTAP > 资源环境科学

DOI	10.7249/RR392
报告编号	RR-392-AF
	The U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996-2017
	Eric Heginbotham; Michael Nixon; Forrest E. Morgan; Jacob Heim; Jeff Hagen; Sheng Li; Jeffrey Engstrom; Martin C. Libicki; Paul DeLuca; David A. Shlapak; et al.
	2015
出版年	2015
页数	430
语种	英语
国家	美国
出版者	RAND Corporation
领域	资源环境
英文摘要	Over the past two decades, China's People's Liberation Army has transformed itself from a large but antiquated force into a capable, modern military. Its technology and operational proficiency still lag behind those of the United States, but it has rapidly narrowed the gap. Moreover, China enjoys the advantage of proximity in most plausible conflict scenarios, and geographical advantage would likely neutralize many U.S. military strengths. A sound understanding of regional military issues — including forces, geography, and the evolving balance of power — will be essential for establishing appropriate U.S. political and military policies in Asia. This RAND study analyzes the development of respective Chinese and U.S. military capabilities in ten categories of military operations across two scenarios, one centered on Taiwan and one on the Spratly Islands. The analysis is presented in ten scorecards that assess military capabilities as they have evolved over four snapshot years: 1996, 2003, 2010, and 2017. The results show that China is not close to catching up to the United States in terms of aggregate capabilities, but also that it does not need to catch up to challenge the United States on its immediate periphery. Furthermore, although China's ability to project power to more distant locations remains limited, its reach is growing, and in the future U.S. military dominance is likely to be challenged at greater distances from China's coast. To maintain robust defense and deterrence capabilities in an era of fiscal constraints, the United States will need to ensure that its own operational concepts, procurement, and diplomacy anticipate future developments in Chinese military capabilities.
英文关键词	Global Security Air Warfare United States Cyber Warfare Nuclear Weapons and Warfare Air Defense Spratly Islands Antisubmarine Warfare Taiwan Space Warfare Submarines
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来源平台	Rand Corporation
引用统计
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4272
专题	资源环境科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Eric Heginbotham,Michael Nixon,Forrest E. Morgan,et al. The U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996-2017:RAND Corporation,2015.