Continuity and Contingency in USAF Posture Planning

doi:10.7249/RR1471

GSTDTAP > 资源环境科学

DOI	10.7249/RR1471
报告编号	RR-1471-AF
	Continuity and Contingency in USAF Posture Planning
	Alan J. Vick; Stacie L. Pettyjohn; Meagan L. Smith; Sean M. Zeigler; Daniel Tremblay; Phillip Johnson
	2016
出版年	2016
页数	146
语种	英语
国家	美国
出版者	RAND Corporation
领域	资源环境
英文摘要	Good posture planning must distinguish powerful long-term trends from headline-grabbing events, have sufficient breadth to capture a wide range of possible posture demands, and be robust in the face of the inevitable uncertainties about where, when, and how U.S. interests will be challenged. U.S. Air Force (USAF) planners must design a posture that can evolve to meet changing global demands over a multidecade period, while making immediate adaptations to meet the demands of today's crises and contingencies. Planning processes typically are based on assumptions, making judgments about the relative probability and importance of demands and other factors, but at least some of these assumptions are bound to be wrong. The planning process should seek to reduce the importance of assumptions by designing a posture that is robust across many alternative futures, including diverse assumptions and a wide range of demands. Massive scenario generation and contingent event analysis can test future posture options across a wide range of demands. Planners should also combine sufficient posture "stickiness" to maintain enduring access in key locations and sufficient agility to surge from these locations to meet out-of-area demands and shrink back as operational demands end.
英文关键词	Military Logistics Defense Infrastructure Military Strategy United States Air Force Military Facilities
URL	查看原文
来源平台	Rand Corporation
引用统计
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4346
专题	资源环境科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Alan J. Vick,Stacie L. Pettyjohn,Meagan L. Smith,et al. Continuity and Contingency in USAF Posture Planning:RAND Corporation,2016.