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DOI10.7249/RR1468
报告编号RR-1468-RC
Russia's Medium-Term Economic Prospects
Keith Crane; Shanthi Nataraj; Patrick B. Johnston; Gursel Rafig oglu Aliyev
2016
出版年2016
页数93
语种英语
国家美国
出版者RAND Corporation
领域资源环境
英文摘要Russia enjoyed a decade of rapid economic growth between 1999 and 2008. Following a recession in 2009, Russia recovered slowly until the end of 2014. In 2015, Russia fell into another downturn, primarily caused by the sharp fall in the price of oil; the ensuing depreciation of the ruble and corresponding increases in inflation; rising policy barriers to private economic activity; a loss of investor confidence stemming from Putin's economic, political, and foreign policies; and Western sanctions on key parts of the Russian financial and energy sectors. This report takes stock of the medium-term outlook for the Russian economy. It finds that, without major policy changes, the Russian economy will grow slowly in the medium term, even if world market prices for oil rebound sharply by the end of the decade. However, there is much that the Russian government could do internally to accelerate growth. A combination of an aggressive program to privatize state-owned assets, clamping down on corruption, and improving the business environment should accelerate growth in total factor productivity.
英文关键词Economic Policy Russia RAND-initiated International Trade Economic Planning
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来源平台Rand Corporation
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文献类型科技报告
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4473
专题资源环境科学
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GB/T 7714
Keith Crane,Shanthi Nataraj,Patrick B. Johnston,et al. Russia's Medium-Term Economic Prospects:RAND Corporation,2016.
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