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Reduced efficiency of the Barents Sea cooling machine 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020, 10 (7) : 661-+
作者:  Skagseth, Oystein;  Eldevik, Tor;  Arthun, Marius;  Asbjornsen, Helene;  Lien, Vidar S.;  Smedsrud, Lars H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/20
Population flow drives spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Fernandez, Diego Carlos;  Komal, Ruchi;  Langel, Jennifer;  Ma, Jun;  Duy, Phan Q.;  Penzo, Mario A.;  Zhao, Haiqing;  Hattar, Samer
收藏  |  浏览/下载:69/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Sudden, large-scale and diffuse human migration can amplify localized outbreaks of disease into widespread epidemics(1-4). Rapid and accurate tracking of aggregate population flows may therefore be epidemiologically informative. Here we use 11,478,484 counts of mobile phone data from individuals leaving or transiting through the prefecture of Wuhan between 1 January and 24 January 2020 as they moved to 296 prefectures throughout mainland China. First, we document the efficacy of quarantine in ceasing movement. Second, we show that the distribution of population outflow from Wuhan accurately predicts the relative frequency and geographical distribution of infections with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) until 19 February 2020, across mainland China. Third, we develop a spatio-temporal '  risk source'  model that leverages population flow data (which operationalize the risk that emanates from epidemic epicentres) not only to forecast the distribution of confirmed cases, but also to identify regions that have a high risk of transmission at an early stage. Fourth, we use this risk source model to statistically derive the geographical spread of COVID-19 and the growth pattern based on the population outflow from Wuhan  the model yields a benchmark trend and an index for assessing the risk of community transmission of COVID-19 over time for different locations. This approach can be used by policy-makers in any nation with available data to make rapid and accurate risk assessments and to plan the allocation of limited resources ahead of ongoing outbreaks.


Modelling of population flows in China enables the forecasting of the distribution of confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the identification of areas at high risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission at an early stage.


  
Hydraulic Potential Energy Model for Hydropower Operation in Mixed Reservoir Systems 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2020, 56 (4)
作者:  Wan, Wenhua;  Wang, Hao;  Zhao, Jianshi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Hydraulic potential energy  forecast-informed operation  energy transformation formula  relative marginal energy principle  two-stage hydraulic potential energy model  
The Impact of Dams on Design Floods in the Conterminous US 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2020, 56 (3)
作者:  Zhao, Gang;  Bates, Paul;  Neal, Jeffrey
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Ice front blocking of ocean heat transport to an Antarctic ice shelf 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 578 (7796) : 568-+
作者:  Alexandrov, Ludmil B.;  Kim, Jaegil;  Haradhvala, Nicholas J.;  Huang, Mi Ni;  Ng, Alvin Wei Tian;  Wu, Yang;  Boot, Arnoud;  Covington, Kyle R.;  Gordenin, Dmitry A.;  Bergstrom, Erik N.;  Islam, S. M. Ashiqul;  Lopez-Bigas, Nuria;  Klimczak, Leszek J.;  McPherson, John R.;  Morganella, Sandro;  Sabarinathan, Radhakrishnan;  Wheeler, David A.;  Mustonen, Ville;  Getz, Gad;  Rozen, Steven G.;  Stratton, Michael R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

The front of the Getz Ice Shelf in West Antarctica creates an abrupt topographic step that deflects ocean currents, suppressing 70% of the heat delivery to the ice sheet.


Mass loss from the Antarctic Ice Sheet to the ocean has increased in recent decades, largely because the thinning of its floating ice shelves has allowed the outflow of grounded ice to accelerate(1,2). Enhanced basal melting of the ice shelves is thought to be the ultimate driver of change(2,3), motivating a recent focus on the processes that control ocean heat transport onto and across the seabed of the Antarctic continental shelf towards the ice(4-6). However, the shoreward heat flux typically far exceeds that required to match observed melt rates(2,7,8), suggesting that other critical controls exist. Here we show that the depth-independent (barotropic) component of the heat flow towards an ice shelf is blocked by the marked step shape of the ice front, and that only the depth-varying (baroclinic) component, which is typically much smaller, can enter the sub-ice cavity. Our results arise from direct observations of the Getz Ice Shelf system and laboratory experiments on a rotating platform. A similar blocking of the barotropic component may occur in other areas with comparable ice-bathymetry configurations, which may explain why changes in the density structure of the water column have been found to be a better indicator of basal melt rate variability than the heat transported onto the continental shelf(9). Representing the step topography of the ice front accurately in models is thus important for simulating ocean heat fluxes and induced melt rates.


  
Electron Bernstein waves driven by electron crescents near the electron diffusion region 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Li, W. Y.;  Graham, D. B.;  Khotyaintsev, Yu. V.;  Vaivads, A.;  Andre, M.;  Min, K.;  Liu, K.;  Tang, B. B.;  Wang, C.;  Fujimoto, K.;  Norgren, C.;  Toledo-Redondo, S.;  Lindqvist, P. -A.;  Ergun, R. E.;  Torbert, R. B.;  Rager, A. C.;  Dorelli, J. C.;  Gershman, D. J.;  Giles, B. L.;  Lavraud, B.;  Plaschke, F.;  Magnes, W.;  Le Contel, O.;  Russell, C. T.;  Burch, J. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
An Empirical Reevaluation of Streamflow Recession Analysis at the Continental Scale 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2020, 56 (1)
作者:  Tashie, Arik;  Pavelsky, Tamlin;  Band, Lawrence E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Two Improvements to Gardner's Method of Measuring the Hydraulic Conductivity of Non-saturated Media: Accounting for Impedance Effects and Non-constant Imposed Suction Increment 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2020, 56 (1)
作者:  Stanic, Filip;  Delage, Pierre;  Cui, Yu-Jun;  De Laure, Emmanuel;  Versini, Pierre-Antoine;  Schertzer, Daniel;  Tchiguirinskaia, Ioulia
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
On the Role of a Large Shallow Lake (Lake St. Clair, USA-Canada) in Modulating Phosphorus Loads to Lake Erie 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (12) : 10548-10564
作者:  Bocaniov, Serghei A.;  Van Cappellen, Philippe;  Scavia, Donald
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Lake St  Clair  Nutrients  Retention  Settling  Tributary  Resuspension  
Non-Newtonian Backflow in an Elastic Fracture 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (12) : 10144-10158
作者:  Chiapponi, Luca;  Ciriello, Valentina;  Longo, Sandro;  Di Federico, Vittorio
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
fracture  non-Newtonian  backflow  hydraulic fracturing  experiments