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Water rights shape crop yield and revenue volatility tradeoffs for adaptation in snow dependent systems 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Malek, Keyvan;  Reed, Patrick;  Adam, Jennifer;  Karimi, Tina;  Brady, Michael
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/14
Future of the human climate niche 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (21) : 11350-11355
作者:  Xu, Chi;  Kohler, Timothy A.;  Lenton, Timothy M.;  Svenning, Jens-Christian;  Scheffer, Marten
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
climate  migration  societies  
Oceanic forcing of penultimate deglacial and last interglacial sea-level rise 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7792) : 660-+
作者:  Rizal, Yan;  Westaway, Kira E.;  Zaim, Yahdi;  van den Bergh, Gerrit D.;  Bettis, E. Arthur, III;  Morwood, Michael J.;  Huffman, O. Frank;  Grun, Rainer;  Joannes-Boyau, Renaud;  Bailey, Richard M.;  Sidarto;  Westaway, Michael C.;  Kurniawan, Iwan;  Moore, Mark W.;  Storey, Michael;  Aziz, Fachroel;  Suminto;  Zhao, Jian-xin;  Aswan;  Sipola, Maija E.;  Larick, Roy;  Zonneveld, John-Paul;  Scott, Robert;  Putt, Shelby;  Ciochon, Russell L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:22/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Sea-level histories during the two most recent deglacial-interglacial intervals show substantial differences(1-3) despite both periods undergoing similar changes in global mean temperature(4,5) and forcing from greenhouse gases(6). Although the last interglaciation (LIG) experienced stronger boreal summer insolation forcing than the present interglaciation(7), understanding why LIG global mean sea level may have been six to nine metres higher than today has proven particularly challenging(2). Extensive areas of polar ice sheets were grounded below sea level during both glacial and interglacial periods, with grounding lines and fringing ice shelves extending onto continental shelves(8). This suggests that oceanic forcing by subsurface warming may also have contributed to ice-sheet loss(9-12) analogous to ongoing changes in the Antarctic(13,14) and Greenland(15) ice sheets. Such forcing would have been especially effective during glacial periods, when the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) experienced large variations on millennial timescales(16), with a reduction of the AMOC causing subsurface warming throughout much of the Atlantic basin(9,12,17). Here we show that greater subsurface warming induced by the longer period of reduced AMOC during the penultimate deglaciation can explain the more-rapid sea-level rise compared with the last deglaciation. This greater forcing also contributed to excess loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets during the LIG, causing global mean sea level to rise at least four metres above modern levels. When accounting for the combined influences of penultimate and LIG deglaciation on glacial isostatic adjustment, this excess loss of polar ice during the LIG can explain much of the relative sea level recorded by fossil coral reefs and speleothems at intermediate- and far-field sites.


  
Climate econometric models indicate solar geoengineering would reduce inter-country income inequality 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Harding, Anthony R.;  Ricke, Katharine;  Heyen, Daniel;  MacMartin, Douglas G.;  Moreno-Cruz, Juan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
High-Resolution, Multilayer Modeling of Singapore's Urban Climate Incorporating Local Climate Zones 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (14) : 7764-7785
作者:  Mughal, M. O.;  Li, Xian-Xiang;  Yin, Tiangang;  Martilli, Alberto;  Brousse, Oscar;  Dissegna, Maria Angela;  Norford, Leslie K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
urban heat island  WUDAPT  local climate zone  urban canopy model  sea  land breeze  
Consistency of climate change projections from multiple global and regional model intercomparison projects 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 1139-1156
作者:  Fernandez, J.;  Frias, M. D.;  Cabos, W. D.;  Cofino, A. S.;  Dominguez, M.;  Fita, L.;  Gaertner, M. A.;  Garcia-Diez, M.;  Gutierrez, J. M.;  Jimenez-Guerrero, P.;  Liguori, G.;  Montavez, J. P.;  Romera, R.;  Sanchez, E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Regional climate change  Near surface temperature  precipitation  ESCENA  ENSEMBLES  CORDEX  
Global pattern of human thermal adaptation and limit of thermal neutrality: Systematic analysis of outdoor neutral temperature 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (14) : 5037-5049
作者:  Cheung, Pui Kwan;  Jim, Chi Yung
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
adaptation limit  adaptation mechanism  human thermal adaptation  neutral temperature  outdoor thermal comfort  PET  
Economic and biophysical impacts on agriculture under 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C warming 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (11)
作者:  Ben, Xiaolin;  39;Neill, Brian C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
avoided impacts  climate change  crop yield  uncertainty  15 degrees C and 2 degrees C warming  
Climate change impact assessment on the potential rubber cultivating area in the Greater Mekong Subregion 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (8)
作者:  Golbon, Reza;  Cotter, Marc;  Sauerborn, Joachim
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Multi-model ensemble  Para rubber tree  cash crops  geographic information systems  biodiversity  deforestation  Mekong Region  
Future warming increases probability of globally synchronized maize production shocks 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2018, 115 (26) : 6644-6649
作者:  Tigchelaar, Michelle;  Battisti, David S.;  Naylor, Rosamond L.;  Ray, Deepak K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate change  food security  price volatility