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Population flow drives spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Fernandez, Diego Carlos;  Komal, Ruchi;  Langel, Jennifer;  Ma, Jun;  Duy, Phan Q.;  Penzo, Mario A.;  Zhao, Haiqing;  Hattar, Samer
收藏  |  浏览/下载:69/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Sudden, large-scale and diffuse human migration can amplify localized outbreaks of disease into widespread epidemics(1-4). Rapid and accurate tracking of aggregate population flows may therefore be epidemiologically informative. Here we use 11,478,484 counts of mobile phone data from individuals leaving or transiting through the prefecture of Wuhan between 1 January and 24 January 2020 as they moved to 296 prefectures throughout mainland China. First, we document the efficacy of quarantine in ceasing movement. Second, we show that the distribution of population outflow from Wuhan accurately predicts the relative frequency and geographical distribution of infections with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) until 19 February 2020, across mainland China. Third, we develop a spatio-temporal '  risk source'  model that leverages population flow data (which operationalize the risk that emanates from epidemic epicentres) not only to forecast the distribution of confirmed cases, but also to identify regions that have a high risk of transmission at an early stage. Fourth, we use this risk source model to statistically derive the geographical spread of COVID-19 and the growth pattern based on the population outflow from Wuhan  the model yields a benchmark trend and an index for assessing the risk of community transmission of COVID-19 over time for different locations. This approach can be used by policy-makers in any nation with available data to make rapid and accurate risk assessments and to plan the allocation of limited resources ahead of ongoing outbreaks.


Modelling of population flows in China enables the forecasting of the distribution of confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the identification of areas at high risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission at an early stage.


  
The proteome landscape of the kingdoms of life 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Arzi, Anat;  Rozenkrantz, Liron;  Gorodisky, Lior;  Rozenkrantz, Danit;  Holtzman, Yael;  Ravia, Aharon;  Bekinschtein, Tristan A.;  Galperin, Tatyana;  Krimchansky, Ben-Zion;  Cohen, Gal;  Oksamitni, Anna;  Aidinoff, Elena;  Sacher, Yaron;  Sobel, Noam
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Proteins carry out the vast majority of functions in all biological domains, but for technological reasons their large-scale investigation has lagged behind the study of genomes. Since the first essentially complete eukaryotic proteome was reported(1), advances in mass-spectrometry-based proteomics(2)have enabled increasingly comprehensive identification and quantification of the human proteome(3-6). However, there have been few comparisons across species(7,8), in stark contrast with genomics initiatives(9). Here we use an advanced proteomics workflow-in which the peptide separation step is performed by a microstructured and extremely reproducible chromatographic system-for the in-depth study of 100 taxonomically diverse organisms. With two million peptide and 340,000 stringent protein identifications obtained in a standardized manner, we double the number of proteins with solid experimental evidence known to the scientific community. The data also provide a large-scale case study for sequence-based machine learning, as we demonstrate by experimentally confirming the predicted properties of peptides fromBacteroides uniformis. Our results offer a comparative view of the functional organization of organisms across the entire evolutionary range. A remarkably high fraction of the total proteome mass in all kingdoms is dedicated to protein homeostasis and folding, highlighting the biological challenge of maintaining protein structure in all branches of life. Likewise, a universally high fraction is involved in supplying energy resources, although these pathways range from photosynthesis through iron sulfur metabolism to carbohydrate metabolism. Generally, however, proteins and proteomes are remarkably diverse between organisms, and they can readily be explored and functionally compared at www.proteomesoflife.org.


  
Responses of an endangered brown bear population to climate change based on predictable food resource and shelter alterations 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (3) : 1133-1151
作者:  Penteriani, Vincenzo;  Zarzo-Arias, Alejandra;  Novo-Fernandez, Ails;  Bombieri, Giulia;  Lopez-Sanchez, Carlos A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
brown bear  climate change  endangered populations  forested landscapes  geographic range  shelter  trophic resources  Ursus arctos  
Economic resilience of Carthage during the Punic Wars: Insights from sediments of the Medjerda delta around Utica (Tunisia) 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (20) : 9764-9769
作者:  Delile, Hugo;  Pleuger, Elisa;  Blichert-Toft, Janne;  Goiran, Jean-Philippe;  Fagel, Nathalie;  Gadhoum, Ahmed;  Abichou, Abdelhakim;  Ben Jerbania, Imed;  Fentress, Elizabeth;  Wilson, Andrew I.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
paleopollution  mining resources  Medjerda river  Punic Wars  Utica  
Mountain snowpack response to different levels of warming 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2018, 115 (43) : 10932-10937
作者:  Huning, Laurie S.;  AghaKouchak, Amir
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
snow  climate  probabilistic analysis  water resources  hydrology  
Humidity determines snowpack ablation under a warming climate 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2018, 115 (6) : 1215-1220
作者:  Harpold, Adrian A.;  Brooks, Paul D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
snow  climate  water resources  hydrology  humidity  
Vegetation cover-another dominant factor in determining global water resources in forested regions 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (2) : 786-795
作者:  Wei, Xiaohua;  Li, Qiang;  Zhang, Mingfang;  Giles-Hansen, Krysta;  Liu, Wenfei;  Fan, Houbao;  Wang, Yi;  Zhou, Guoyi;  Piao, Shilong;  Liu, Shirong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  directional interactions  relative contribution  vegetation cover change  water resources  
Temperature-nutrient interactions exacerbate sensitivity to warming in phytoplankton 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (8)
作者:  Thomas, Mridul K.;  Aranguren-Gassis, Maria;  Kremer, Colin T.;  Gould, Marilyn R.;  Anderson, Krista;  Klausmeier, Christopher A.;  Litchman, Elena
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
mechanistic species distribution model  nutrients  phytoplankton  population growth rate  R*  resources  temperature  zero net growth isocline (ZNGI)  
Enhanced groundwater recharge rates and altered recharge sensitivity to climate variability through subsurface heterogeneity 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2017, 114 (11) : 2842-2847
作者:  Hartmann, Andreas;  Gleeson, Tom;  Wada, Yoshihide;  Wagener, Thorsten
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
groundwater recharge  subsurface heterogeneity  water resources  climate variability  climate change  
Impact of pollen resources drift on common bumblebees in NW Europe 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (1)
作者:  Roger, Nathalie;  Moerman, Romain;  Carvalheiro, Luisa Gigante;  Aguirre-Guitierrez, Jesus;  Jacquemart, Anne-Laure;  Kleijn, David;  Lognay, Georges;  Moquet, Laura;  Quinet, Muriel;  Rasmont, Pierre;  Richel, Aurore;  Vanderplanck, Maryse;  Michez, Denis
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
bumblebee  diet performance  floral resources  food choices  land-use change  pollen