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Excessive Momentum and False Alarms in Late-Spring ENSO Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (8)
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.;  39;Heureux, Michelle L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：24/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
ENSO  prediction  forecast busts  
Different prediction skill for the East Asian winter monsoon in the early and late winter season 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Tian, Baoqiang;  Fan, Ke
收藏  |  浏览/下载：31/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Prediction skill  Early and late winter  East Asian winter monsoon  Subseasonal ENSO-EAWM relation  CFSv2  Year-to-year increment prediction  
ENSO influence on the dynamical seasonal prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoon 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7479-7495
作者:  Kang, Daehyun;  Lee, Myong-In
收藏  |  浏览/下载：23/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Seasonal prediction  East Asian Winter Monsoon  ENSO  Teleconnection  Decadal variability  
GEOS-5 seasonal forecast system 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7335-7361
作者:  Borovikov, Anna;  Cullather, Richard;  Kovach, Robin;  Marshak, Jelena;  Vernieres, Guillaume;  Vikhliaev, Yury;  Zhao, Bin;  Li, Zhao
收藏  |  浏览/下载：22/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Global forecast  Seasonal prediction  NMME  GEOS-5  ENSO  Forecast skill  
Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5777-5797
作者:  Wang, Yiguo;  Counillon, Francois;  Keenlyside, Noel;  Svendsen, Lea;  Gleixner, Stephanie;  Kimmritz, Madlen;  Dai, Panxi;  Gao, Yongqi
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Seasonal prediction  Advanced data assimilation  EnKF  SST  NorCPM  ENSO  Sea ice extent  
How does ENSO diversity limit the skill of tropical Pacific precipitation forecasts in dynamical seasonal predictions? 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5815-5831
作者:  Sohn, Soo-Jin;  Tam, Chi-Yung;  Kug, Jong-Seong
收藏  |  浏览/下载：16/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
ENSO diversity  ENSO prediction  SST forecast  Tropical Pacific precipitation forecast  Dynamical seasonal prediction  Multimodal ensemble  
Predicting the seasonal evolution of southern African summer precipitation in the DePreSys3 prediction system 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6491-6510
作者:  Monerie, Paul-Arthur;  Robson, Jon;  Dong, Buwen;  Dieppois, Bastien;  Pohl, Benjamin;  Dunstone, Nick
收藏  |  浏览/下载：26/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Southern African precipitation  ENSO  Seasonal prediction  High resolution climate models  
Predictable and Unpredictable Aspects of US West Coast Rainfall and El Nino: Understanding the 2015/16 Event 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (10) : 2843-2868
作者:  Cash, Benjamin A.;  Burls, Natalie J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Drought  Atmosphere-ocean interaction  Climate prediction  ENSO  Ensembles  Seasonal forecasting  
Skill of Indian summer monsoon rainfall prediction in multiple seasonal prediction systems 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 5291-5301
作者:  Jain, Shipra;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Mitra, Ashis K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：13/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Climate Historical Forecasts Project (CHFP)  Seasonal prediction  Indian monsoon  ENSO-monsoon teleconnection  Seasonal hindcasts  
Loss of predictive skill of indian summer monsoon rainfall in NCEP CFSv2 due to misrepresentation of Atlantic zonal mode 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 4599-4619
作者:  Sabeerali, C. T.;  Ajayamohan, R. S.;  Rao, Suryachandra A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Indian summer monsoon  Atlantic zonal mode  CFSv2  Seasonal mean prediction  ENSO-monsoon teleconnection