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Science指出《2022年通胀削减法案》助力2035年大幅减排 快报文章
气候变化快报,2023年第14期
作者:  刘莉娜
Microsoft Word(15Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:588/0  |  提交时间:2023/07/19
Emission  Energy  Inflation Reduction Act  
美国《通胀削减法案》将投资3690亿美元应对气候变化 快报文章
气候变化快报,2022年第17期
作者:  廖琴
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US  Inflation Reduction Act  Climate Investment  
Extreme rainfall triggered the 2018 rift eruption at Kilauea Volcano 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7804) : 491-+
作者:  Cloutier, Richard;  Clement, Alice M.;  Lee, Michael S. Y.;  Noel, Roxanne;  Bechard, Isabelle;  Roy, Vincent;  Long, John A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:35/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

The May 2018 rift intrusion and eruption of Kilauea Volcano, Hawai'  i, represented one of its most extraordinary eruptive sequences in at least 200 years, yet the trigger mechanism remains elusive(1). The event was preceded by several months of anomalously high precipitation. It has been proposed that rainfall can modulate shallow volcanic activity(2,3), but it remains unknown whether it can have impacts at the greater depths associated with magma transport. Here we show that immediately before and during the eruption, infiltration of rainfall into Kilauea Volcano'  s subsurface increased pore pressure at depths of 1 to 3 kilometres by 0.1 to 1 kilopascals, to its highest pressure in almost 50 years. We propose that weakening and mechanical failure of the edifice was driven by changes in pore pressure within the rift zone, prompting opportunistic dyke intrusion and ultimately facilitating the eruption. A precipitation-induced eruption trigger is consistent with the lack of precursory summit inflation, showing that this intrusion-unlike others-was not caused by the forceful intrusion of new magma into the rift zone. Moreover, statistical analysis of historic eruption occurrence suggests that rainfall patterns contribute substantially to the timing and frequency of Kilauea'  s eruptions and intrusions. Thus, volcanic activity can be modulated by extreme rainfall triggering edifice rock failure-a factor that should be considered when assessing volcanic hazards. Notably, the increasingly extreme weather patterns associated with ongoing anthropogenic climate change could increase the potential for rainfall-triggered volcanic phenomena worldwide.


Immediately before and during the eruption of Ki & x304  lauea Volcano in May 2018, anomalously high rainfall increased the pore pressure in the subsurface to its highest level in 50 years, causing weakening and mechanical failure of the edifice.


  
Modeling ingrowth for empirical forest prediction systems 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2019, 433: 771-779
作者:  Zell, Juergen;  Rohner, Brigitte;  Thuerig, Esther;  Stadelmann, Golo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Forest scenario model  Negative binomial distribution  Swiss national forest inventory  Multinomial regression  Poisson distribution  Recruitment modeling  Weibull distribution  Zero inflation  
Improving Short-Term Rainfall Forecasts by Assimilating Weather Radar Reflectivity Using Additive Ensemble Perturbations 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (17) : 9047-9062
作者:  Yokota, S.;  Seko, H.;  Kunii, M.;  Yamauchi, H.;  Sato, E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
data assimilation  weather radar reflectivity  short-term rainfall forecast  ensemble Kalman filter  error covariance inflation  fractions skill score  
Extending the Applicability of the Generalized Likelihood Function for Zero-Inflated Data Series 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2018, 54 (3) : 2494-2506
作者:  Oliveira, Debora Y.;  Chaffe, Pedro L. B.;  Sa, Joao H. M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
uncertainty quantification  Bayesian inference  likelihood function  zero-inflation  
Episodic inflation events at Akutan Volcano, Alaska, during 2005-2017 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 44 (16)
作者:  Ji, Kang Hyeun;  Yun, Sang-Ho;  Rim, Hyoungrea
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
volcano deformation  Akutan  Alaska  inflation  GPS  InSAR  
Environmental Valuation With Periodical Payments in High-inflation Economies. An Argentinean Case Study 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2017, 138
作者:  Farreras, Veronica;  Riera, Pere;  Salvador, Pablo F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Environmental valuation  Contingent choice  Periodical payments  Annuities  Inflation