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Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:30/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Overlooked ocean strategies to address climate change 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2019, 59
作者:  Cooley, Sarah R.;  Bello, Brittany;  Bodansky, Daniel;  Mansell, Anthony;  Merkl, Andreas;  Purvis, Nigel;  Ruffo, Susan;  Taraska, Gwynne;  Zivian, Anna;  Leonard, George H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:29/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Ocean climate change  Ocean acidification  United nations framework convention on climate change (UNFCCC)  Sustainable development goals (SDGs)  Nationally determined contributions (NDCs)  Intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC)  
Unleashing expert judgment in assessment 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2017, 44: 43479
作者:  Mach, Katharine J.;  Mastrandrea, Michael D.;  Freeman, Patrick T.;  Field, Christopher B.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Expert judgment  Assessment  Uncertainties  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate  Change  Fifth Assessment Report  
Climate Change 2014: Synthesis report 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2015
作者:  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
收藏  |  浏览/下载:162/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Climate change  - International  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)  
IPCC Workshop on Regional Climate Projections and their Use in Impacts and Risk Analysis Studies: workshop report 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2015
作者:  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Climate change  - International  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)  
IPCC Workshop on Regional Climate Projections and their Use in Impacts and Risk Analysis Studies 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2015
作者:  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate ChangeEvent:
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Climate change  - International  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)  
Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2014
作者:  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
收藏  |  浏览/下载:48/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Climate change  Climate change - Mitigation  - International  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)  
Climate Change 2014 - Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability: summaries, frequently asked questions and cross-chapter boxes 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2014
作者:  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Climate change  - International  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)  
Climate Change 2014 - Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2014
作者:  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
收藏  |  浏览/下载:20/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Climate change  - International  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)  
Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2013
作者:  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
收藏  |  浏览/下载:615/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Climate change  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)  - International