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IOC-UNESCO发布《2024年海洋状况报告》 快报文章
资源环境快报,2024年第11期
作者:  薛明媚,王金平
Microsoft Word(19Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:654/1  |  提交时间:2024/06/15
Ocean State  UN Ocean Decade  Ocean Ecosystem  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:31/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Weak dependence of future global mean warming on the background climate state 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5079-5099
作者:  Stolpe, Martin B.;  Medhaug, Iselin;  Beyerle, Urs;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:24/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
State-dependence  Transient climate response  Climate sensitivity  Radiative forcing  Ocean heat uptake efficiency  Meridional overturning circulation  
Features of locally and remotely generated surface gravity waves in the inner-shelf region of northwestern Bay of Bengal 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (3) : 1644-1664
作者:  Nair, M. Anjali;  Kumar, V. Sanil;  Amrutha, M. M.;  Murty, V. S. N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Indian wave climate  mixed sea state  multipeaked spectra  ocean science  surface waves  swells  wind-seas  
Essential ocean variables for global sustained observations of biodiversity and ecosystem changes 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (6) : 2416-2433
作者:  Miloslavich, Patricia;  Bax, Nicholas J.;  Simmons, Samantha E.;  Klein, Eduardo;  Appeltans, Ward;  Aburto-Oropeza, Octavio;  Garcia, Melissa Andersen;  Batten, Sonia D.;  Benedetti-Cecchi, Lisandro;  Checkley, David M., Jr.;  Chiba, Sanae;  Duffy, J. Emmett;  Dunn, Daniel C.;  Fischer, Albert;  Gunn, John;  Kudela, Raphael;  Marsac, Francis;  Muller-Karger, Frank E.;  Obura, David;  Shin, Yunne-Jai
收藏  |  浏览/下载:43/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
driver-pressure-state-impact-response  essential ocean variables  framework for ocean observing  global ocean observing system  marine biodiversity changes  Marine Biodiversity Observation Network  ocean change  
Antarctic Summer Sea Ice Trend in the Context of High-Latitude Atmospheric Circulation Changes 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (10) : 3909-3920
作者:  Yu, Lejiang;  Zhong, Shiyuan;  Zhou, Mingyu;  Sun, Bo;  Lenschow, Donald H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Atmosphere-ocean interaction  Sea state  Climate change  Climate variability  Ice loss  growth  
Low-Frequency Variability and the Unusual Indian Ocean Dipole Events in 2015 and 2016 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (2) : 1040-1048
作者:  Zhang, Lianyi;  Du, Yan;  Cai, Wenju
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
IOD  thermocline  low-frequency variability  Indian Ocean  mean state  
Why 2015 was a strong El Nino and 2014 was not 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 44 (16)
作者:  Wang, Guomin;  Hendon, Harry H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
El Nino dynamics  Pacific mean state  atmosphere-ocean interaction  El Nino 2014  El Nino 2015  
Global coupled sea ice-ocean state estimation 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49 (3)
作者:  Fenty, Ian;  Menemenlis, Dimitris;  Zhang, Hong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Adjoint  State estimation  Sea ice  ECCO2  Coupled ocean model  Sea ice concentration data  Assimilation  4DVAR  
Ocean heat content variability and change in an ensemble of ocean reanalyses 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49 (3)
作者:  Palmer, M. D.;  Roberts, C. D.;  Balmaseda, M.;  Chang, Y. -S.;  Chepurin, G.;  Ferry, N.;  Fujii, Y.;  Good, S. A.;  Guinehut, S.;  Haines, K.;  Hernandez, F.;  Koehl, A.;  Lee, T.;  Martin, M. J.;  Masina, S.;  Masuda, S.;  Peterson, K. A.;  Storto, A.;  Toyoda, T.;  Valdivieso, M.;  Vernieres, G.;  Wang, O.;  Xue, Y.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:38/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Heat content  Temperature  Variability  Climate change  Global warming  Energy budget  Ocean reanalyses  Ocean state estimation  Ocean models  Inter comparison  Ocean  Observations  Data assimilation