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Will Coral Reefs in the North Atlantic Ocean Bleach During the Next Season? A Probabilistic Answer 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Lisboa, D. S.;  Kikuchi, R. K. P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:33/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Coral bleaching seasonal forecast  Bayesian Network  SST anomaly  El Nino  Early warning system  Environmental management support  
Influence analysis of central and Eastern Pacific El Ninos to seasonal rainfall patterns over China using the intentional statistical simulations 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 233
作者:  Heng, Chaizi;  Lee, Taesam;  Kim, Jong-Suk;  Xiong, Lihua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:20/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
El Nino  Sea surface temperature (SST)  Seasonal precipitation  Intentional Statistical simulation  China  
The impact of air-sea coupling and ocean biases on the seasonal cycle of southern West African precipitation 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 7027-7044
作者:  Wainwright, Caroline M.;  Hirons, Linda C.;  Klingaman, Nicholas P.;  Allan, Richard P.;  Black, Emily;  Turner, Andrew G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:26/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Little Dry Season  Coupled models  Atlantic SST bias  West African monsoon  Precipitation  Seasonal cycle  
More reliable coastal SST forecasts from the North American multimodel ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7153-7168
作者:  Hervieux, G.;  Alexander, M. A.;  Stock, C. A.;  Jacox, M. G.;  Pegion, K.;  Becker, E.;  Castruccio, F.;  Tommasi, D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Seasonal prediction  SST anomaly  Coastal ecosystems  Climate models  Multimodel ensemble forecast  
Ocean and atmosphere influence on the 2015 European heatwave 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (11)
作者:  Mecking, J. V.;  Drijfhout, S. S.;  Hirschi, J. J-M;  Blaker, A. T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
seasonal predictions  European summer  2015 heatwave  2015 cold blob  North Atlantic SST  
Seasonal predictions initialised by assimilating sea surface temperature observations with the EnKF 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5777-5797
作者:  Wang, Yiguo;  Counillon, Francois;  Keenlyside, Noel;  Svendsen, Lea;  Gleixner, Stephanie;  Kimmritz, Madlen;  Dai, Panxi;  Gao, Yongqi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal prediction  Advanced data assimilation  EnKF  SST  NorCPM  ENSO  Sea ice extent  
How does ENSO diversity limit the skill of tropical Pacific precipitation forecasts in dynamical seasonal predictions? 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5815-5831
作者:  Sohn, Soo-Jin;  Tam, Chi-Yung;  Kug, Jong-Seong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
ENSO diversity  ENSO prediction  SST forecast  Tropical Pacific precipitation forecast  Dynamical seasonal prediction  Multimodal ensemble  
Northwestwards shift of tropical cyclone genesis position during autumn over the western North Pacific after the late 1990s 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Cao, Xi;  Yong, Liu;  Wu, Renguang;  Bi, Mingyu;  Dai, Yifeng;  Cai, Zelin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:35/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
inter-decadal change  intra-seasonal activity  regional SST effects  TC genesis position  western North Pacific  
Feedback of 10-20-day intraseasonal oscillations on seasonal mean SST in the tropical Western North Pacific during boreal spring through fall 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 4169-4184
作者:  Wu, Renguang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ISO feedback  Seasonal mean SST  Latent heat flux decomposition  Tropical western North Pacific  
Seasonal ENSO phase locking in the Kiel Climate Model: The importance of the equatorial cold sea surface temperature bias 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 50: 901-919
作者:  Wengel, C.;  Latif, M.;  Park, W.;  Harlass, J.;  Bayr, T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Seasonal ENSO phase locking  SST bias  Kiel Climate Model