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Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:26/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
A Euro-Mediterranean tree-ring reconstruction of the winter NAO index since 910CE 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1567-1580
作者:  Cook, Edward R.;  Kushnir, Yochanan;  Smerdon, Jason E.;  Williams, A. Park;  Anchukaitis, Kevin J.;  Wahl, Eugene R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:30/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
North Atlantic Oscillation  Euro-Mediterranean tree rings  Millennium reconstruction  Stochastic forcing  
Contribution of tropical instability waves to ENSO irregularity 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 1837-1855
作者:  Holmes, Ryan M.;  McGregor, Shayne;  Santoso, Agus;  England, Matthew H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Tropical instability waves  El Nino-Southern Oscillation  Ocean general circulation model  Hybrid coupled model  Stochastic forcing  Predictability  
The Influence of Oceanic Stochastic Forcing on the Atmospheric Response to Midlatitude North Pacific SST Anomalies 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (17) : 9297-9304
作者:  Sun, Xuguang;  Tao, Lingfeng;  Yang, Xiu-Qun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
oceanic stochastic forcing  atmospheric transient eddies  storm track  midlatitude North Pacific SST anomalies  atmospheric equivalent barotropic structure  
What Controls ENSO-Amplitude Diversity in Climate Models? 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (4) : 1989-1996
作者:  Wengel, C.;  Dommenget, D.;  Latif, M.;  Bayr, T.;  Vijayeta, A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
El Nino  stochastic forcing  ENSO-amplitude diversity  CMIP5  recharge oscillator  Bjerknes Stability index  
Internal atmospheric noise characteristics in twentieth century coupled atmosphere-ocean model simulations 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49
作者:  Colfescu, Ioana;  Schneider, Edwin K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Internal variability  Atmospheric weather noise  Coupled general circulation modes  Twentieth century external forcing  Coupled atmosphere-ocean model simulations  Surface pressure variability  Coupled simulations  Stochastic atmospheric forcings  
Effects of cloud condensate vertical alignment on radiative transfer calculations in deep convective regions 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2017, 186
作者:  Wang, Xiaocong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Horizontal inhomogeneity  Topic  Vertical alignment  Decorrelation length  Cloud radiative forcing  Stochastic ICA approach  
A simple approach to quantifying the noise-ENSO interaction. Part II: the role of coupling between the warm pool and equatorial zonal wind anomalies 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 48
作者:  Levine, Aaron F. Z.;  Jin, Fei Fei;  Stuecker, Malte F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ENSO  Westerly wind bursts  State-dependent stochastic forcing  
A simple approach to quantifying the noise-ENSO interaction. Part I: deducing the state-dependency of the windstress forcing using monthly mean data 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 48: 43483
作者:  Levine, Aaron F. Z.;  Jin, Fei Fei
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ENSO  Westerly wind bursts  Statedependent stochastic forcing