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Population flow drives spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Fernandez, Diego Carlos;  Komal, Ruchi;  Langel, Jennifer;  Ma, Jun;  Duy, Phan Q.;  Penzo, Mario A.;  Zhao, Haiqing;  Hattar, Samer
收藏  |  浏览/下载:86/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Sudden, large-scale and diffuse human migration can amplify localized outbreaks of disease into widespread epidemics(1-4). Rapid and accurate tracking of aggregate population flows may therefore be epidemiologically informative. Here we use 11,478,484 counts of mobile phone data from individuals leaving or transiting through the prefecture of Wuhan between 1 January and 24 January 2020 as they moved to 296 prefectures throughout mainland China. First, we document the efficacy of quarantine in ceasing movement. Second, we show that the distribution of population outflow from Wuhan accurately predicts the relative frequency and geographical distribution of infections with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) until 19 February 2020, across mainland China. Third, we develop a spatio-temporal '  risk source'  model that leverages population flow data (which operationalize the risk that emanates from epidemic epicentres) not only to forecast the distribution of confirmed cases, but also to identify regions that have a high risk of transmission at an early stage. Fourth, we use this risk source model to statistically derive the geographical spread of COVID-19 and the growth pattern based on the population outflow from Wuhan  the model yields a benchmark trend and an index for assessing the risk of community transmission of COVID-19 over time for different locations. This approach can be used by policy-makers in any nation with available data to make rapid and accurate risk assessments and to plan the allocation of limited resources ahead of ongoing outbreaks.


Modelling of population flows in China enables the forecasting of the distribution of confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the identification of areas at high risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission at an early stage.


  
Late-stage oxidative C(sp(3))-H methylation 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7805) : 621-+
作者:  Fessler, Evelyn;  Eckl, Eva-Maria;  Schmitt, Sabine;  Mancilla, Igor Alves;  Meyer-Bender, Matthias F.;  Hanf, Monika;  Philippou-Massier, Julia;  Krebs, Stefan;  Zischka, Hans;  Jae, Lucas T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:71/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Frequently referred to as the '  magic methyl effect'  , the installation of methyl groups-especially adjacent (alpha) to heteroatoms-has been shown to dramatically increase the potency of biologically active molecules(1-3). However, existing methylation methods show limited scope and have not been demonstrated in complex settings(1). Here we report a regioselective and chemoselective oxidative C(sp(3))-H methylation method that is compatible with late-stage functionalization of drug scaffolds and natural products. This combines a highly site-selective and chemoselective C-H hydroxylation with a mild, functional-group-tolerant methylation. Using a small-molecule manganese catalyst, Mn(CF3PDP), at low loading (at a substrate/catalyst ratio of 200) affords targeted C-H hydroxylation on heterocyclic cores, while preserving electron-neutral and electron-rich aryls. Fluorine- or Lewis-acid-assisted formation of reactive iminium or oxonium intermediates enables the use of a mildly nucleophilic organoaluminium methylating reagent that preserves other electrophilic functionalities on the substrate. We show this late-stage C(sp(3))-H methylation on 41 substrates housing 16 different medicinally important cores that include electron-rich aryls, heterocycles, carbonyls and amines. Eighteen pharmacologically relevant molecules with competing sites-including drugs (for example, tedizolid) and natural products-are methylated site-selectively at the most electron rich, least sterically hindered position. We demonstrate the syntheses of two magic methyl substrates-an inverse agonist for the nuclear receptor RORc and an antagonist of the sphingosine-1-phosphate receptor-1-via late-stage methylation from the drug or its advanced precursor. We also show a remote methylation of the B-ring carbocycle of an abiraterone analogue. The ability to methylate such complex molecules at late stages will reduce synthetic effort and thereby expedite broader exploration of the magic methyl effect in pursuit of new small-molecule therapeutics and chemical probes.


A manganese-catalysed oxidative C(sp(3))-H methylation method allows a methyl group to be selectively installed into medicinally important heterocycles, providing a way to improve pharmaceuticals and better understand the '  magic methyl effect'  .


  
Microbiome analyses of blood and tissues suggest cancer diagnostic approach 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7800) : 567-+
作者:  Shao, Zhengping;  Flynn, Ryan A.;  Crowe, Jennifer L.;  Zhu, Yimeng;  Liang, Jialiang;  Jiang, Wenxia;  Aryan, Fardin;  Aoude, Patrick;  Bertozzi, Carolyn R.;  Estes, Verna M.;  Lee, Brian J.;  Bhagat, Govind;  Zha, Shan;  Calo, Eliezer
收藏  |  浏览/下载:85/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Microbial nucleic acids are detected in samples of tissues and blood from more than 10,000 patients with cancer, and machine learning is used to show that these can be used to discriminate between and among different types of cancer, suggesting a new microbiome-based diagnostic approach.


Systematic characterization of the cancer microbiome provides the opportunity to develop techniques that exploit non-human, microorganism-derived molecules in the diagnosis of a major human disease. Following recent demonstrations that some types of cancer show substantial microbial contributions(1-10), we re-examined whole-genome and whole-transcriptome sequencing studies in The Cancer Genome Atlas(11) (TCGA) of 33 types of cancer from treatment-naive patients (a total of 18,116 samples) for microbial reads, and found unique microbial signatures in tissue and blood within and between most major types of cancer. These TCGA blood signatures remained predictive when applied to patients with stage Ia-IIc cancer and cancers lacking any genomic alterations currently measured on two commercial-grade cell-free tumour DNA platforms, despite the use of very stringent decontamination analyses that discarded up to 92.3% of total sequence data. In addition, we could discriminate among samples from healthy, cancer-free individuals (n = 69) and those from patients with multiple types of cancer (prostate, lung, and melanoma  100 samples in total) solely using plasma-derived, cell-free microbial nucleic acids. This potential microbiome-based oncology diagnostic tool warrants further exploration.


  
Carbon metric of the household sector in the use stage according to ISO 16745: A case study 期刊论文
ENERGY POLICY, 2019, 132: 474-489
作者:  Braulio-Gonzalo, Marta;  Bovea, Maria D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
ISO 16745  Carbon metric  Household sector  Use stage  Household survey